๐๐จ๐ฏ๐๐ฆ๐๐๐ซ ๐, ๐๐๐๐
* ๐๐ก๐ ๐๐๐ ๐ญ๐ซ๐๐๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ซ๐๐ง๐ ๐:๐,๐๐๐๐ฉ๐ญ – ๐,๐๐๐๐ฉ๐ญย (๐ ๐ซ๐ข๐๐๐ฒ ๐๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐: ๐,๐๐๐๐ฉ๐ญ)
* ๐๐๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐๐ญ๐ซ๐๐๐ญ ๐๐ง๐๐๐ ๐ก๐ข๐ ๐ก๐๐ซ ๐๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฆ๐ ๐.๐%, ๐ฆ๐๐ฃ๐จ๐ซ ๐ข๐ง๐๐ข๐๐๐ฌ ๐๐ซ๐ ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐๐ ๐๐ญ ๐ซ๐๐๐จ๐ซ๐ ๐ก๐ข๐ ๐ก ๐ฆ๐๐ข๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐๐๐ซ ๐ฃ๐จ๐ ๐๐๐ญ๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐๐ง๐ข๐ญ๐๐ ๐๐ญ๐๐ญ๐๐ฌ (๐๐) ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐จ๐ง๐ ๐๐ซ-๐ญ๐ก๐๐ง-๐๐ฑ๐ฉ๐๐๐ญ๐๐
* ๐๐ก๐ ๐๐๐ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐ฑ๐ฉ๐๐๐ญ๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ ๐๐ข๐ง ๐๐๐ ๐ ๐๐ฅ๐ฌ๐จ ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐๐ ๐๐ฒ ๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐ง๐ ๐จ๐ข๐ฅ-๐๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐
Morning,
The Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) today (11/8) is expected to trade between 6,540pt – 6,675pt to stay mostly in the green zone also on the back of ย bargain hunters. Meanwhile, Friday last week (11/5) Wall Street ended with the DJIA closed higher by 204pt ย or 0.6% to 36,328pt, while the S&P500 and the Nasdaq ย closed higher by 0.4% and 0.2%, respectively. The US nonfarm payrolls figure last month showed an addition of 531k units or higher than the widely estimated 450k units, while the countryโs unemployment rate declined by 0.2ppt to 4.6%. ย In the view of the start of hawkish stance this month, yield of 10-year Treasury note declined by 6bp to 1.46% in the last close (Indonesia counterpart by 2bp to 6.208%).
The JCI today is expected to reverse also to digest the countryโs 3Q21 GDP data release last week.ย Indonesia 3Q21 GDP figure is recorded to grow at 3.51% YoY and 1.55% QoQ , or lower as compared to 3.61% YoY of market-consensus estimate, 4.5% YoY that of the government, and ย 5% YoY that of the central bank. However, on a prorata basis against the 2Q21 which expanded by 3.31% QoQ, 3Q21 GDP number reflects more-than-sufficiently thriving economic activities, also considering in the 2Q21 occurred Eid festive holidays. By sectors, outstanding contributions during the 3Q21 shown by that of F&B sector of 0.33ppt (2Q21:0.17ppt), Construction sector of 0.49ppt (2Q21: -0.25ppt), while Trade of cars/motorcyles/maintenance sector contributed of 0.3ppt (2Q21:0.3ppt).
At the other end, last week the WTI price ย closed higher by 3.1% ย to ย USD81.3/barrel , mainly on supply worries despite news that the US administration is ready to release the strategic reserves.By the main reasons of green issues and the untimely COVID-19 pandemic happening, supply of the sector has difficulties to catch up with recovering demand. ย Meanwhile, the USDIDR closed ย at IDR14,374 vs. IDR14,327 the previous one.
We advise the following recommendations, for both trading and longer-time investment purpose. ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐จ๐ณ๐ช, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ฏ๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต ), ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ ๐๐ช๐ฏ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต-๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต), ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ด๐ถ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ณ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต ), ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐,๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ณ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฆ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต),๐๐ง๐ ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ข๐ด๐ช๐ค ๐๐ฏ๐ฅ๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐ณ๐บ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต-๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต).
Cheers,