The JCI December 7, 2020
๐๐๐๐๐ฆ๐๐๐ซ ๐, ๐๐๐๐
* ๐๐ก๐ ๐๐๐ ๐ญ๐ซ๐๐๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ซ๐๐ง๐ ๐:ย ๐,๐๐๐๐ฉ๐ญ – ๐,๐๐๐๐ฉ๐ญย (๐ ๐ซ๐ข๐๐๐ฒ ๐๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐: ๐,๐๐๐๐ฉ๐ญ)
* ๐๐๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐๐ญ๐ซ๐๐๐ญ ๐๐ง๐๐๐ ๐ก๐ข๐ ๐ก๐๐ซ ๐๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฆ๐๐% , ๐๐ฅ๐ฌ๐จ ๐๐ฎ๐จ๐ฒ๐๐ ๐ฎ๐ฉ ๐๐ฒ ๐ ๐๐ง๐๐ซ๐๐ฅ ๐จ๐ฉ๐ญ๐ข๐ฆ๐ข๐ฌ๐ฆ ๐จ๐ง ๐๐๐๐๐-๐๐ ๐ฏ๐๐๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ฌ’ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐จ๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ฌ
* ๐๐ก๐ ๐๐๐ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐ฑ๐ฉ๐๐๐ญ๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ ๐๐ข๐ง ๐๐๐ ๐ ๐๐ฅ๐ฌ๐จ ๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ญ๐๐๐ฅ๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐ง๐ ๐จ๐ข๐ฅ-๐๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐
Morning,
The Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) today (12/7) is expected to be in the range of 5,775pt โ 5,950pt, also be supported by stable USDIDR close. ย Meanwhile, Friday last week (12/4), the DJIA closed higher by 249 points or 0.8% to 30,218pt, while the S&P500 and the Nasdaq both ended with gain ofย 0.9% and ย 0.7%, respectively. ย The United States (US) unemployment rate for November declined to 6.7% YoY as widely-expected, ย ย from 6.9% YoY. The lower unemployment rate added optimism for faster rate of economic recovery in the US.
๐๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐จ๐ซ ๐๐ง๐๐จ๐ง๐๐ฌ๐ข๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐๐จ๐๐ฅ ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐ฉ๐จ ๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ๐ฌ
In the news last weekend is the arrival of COVID-19 vaccines in the country. ย Vaccines availability is expected to bring comfort into COVID-19 โ free business climate around next year. All the while, the cycle has arrived for coal and cpo sectors to rise.ย The two factors is expected to give better space both for public and private sectors to revise spendings and investments patterns in favor of higher economic growth next year.
Current thermal coal higher price, is essentially a normal cycle, in our note, especially true during a pandemic situation (please see report our report datedย July 27). The interuption of major countriesโ political and social shiftsโ focus into the preservation of global climate, have benefitted major coal-producing countries, including Indonesia, through restrained world- supply.ย Indonesia is now among the highest producers of thermal coal , with production totaled 515mn tonnes in 2018 (2019: 545mn tonnes), while exports was recorded at total of 429mn tonnes in 2018 (2019: 453mn tonnes).
At the other end, last week the WTI price closed higher by ย 1.0% to USD46.3/barrel, mainly on improved sentimet for future demand. ย Meanwhile, the USDIDR ย closedย at IDR14.182 ย vs. IDR14.177 the previous one.
We advise the following recommendations, for both trading and longer-time investment purpose. ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐จ๐ณ๐ช, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ฏ๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต ), ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ ๐๐ช๐ฏ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต-๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต), ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ด๐ถ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ณ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต ), ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ถ๐ต๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ข๐ต๐ช๐ท๐ฆ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต-๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต), ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ณ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฆ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต),๐๐ง๐ ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ข๐ด๐ช๐ค ๐๐ฏ๐ฅ๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐ณ๐บ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต-๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต).
Cheers,