The JCI February 14, 2022

๐…๐ž๐›๐ซ๐ฎ๐š๐ซ๐ฒ ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“, ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ

 

* ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐‰๐‚๐ˆ ๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ž: ๐Ÿ”,๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ“๐ฉ๐ญ – ๐Ÿ”,๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ–๐ŸŽ๐ฉ๐ญ (๐˜๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ž๐ซ๐๐š๐ฒ ๐œ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž: ๐Ÿ”,๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ“๐ฉ๐ญ)

* ๐–๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐’๐ญ๐ซ๐ž๐ž๐ญ ๐ž๐ง๐๐ž๐ ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก ๐ฆ๐š๐ฃ๐จ๐ซ ๐ž๐ช๐ฎ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง๐๐ข๐œ๐ž๐ฌ ๐œ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž๐ ๐ซ๐ž๐ฅ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐œ๐š๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ž๐ซ ๐ฐ๐ก๐ข๐ฅ๐ž ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐”๐ง๐ข๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐’๐ญ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ฌ (๐”๐’) ๐’๐ž๐œ๐ซ๐ž๐ญ๐š๐ซ๐ฒ ๐ซ๐ž๐ฅ๐ž๐š๐ฌ๐ž๐ ๐š ๐ฌ๐ญ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐œ๐š๐ฎ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐จ๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐จ๐ง-๐ ๐จ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ญ๐ž๐ง๐ฌ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐›๐ž๐ญ๐ฐ๐ž๐ž๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐”๐’ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐‘๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ข๐š, ๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐›๐ฃ๐ž๐œ๐ญ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐”๐ค๐ซ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ž

* ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐‰๐‚๐ˆ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ž๐ฑ๐ฉ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐œ๐ญ๐ฎ๐š๐ญ๐ž ๐š๐ง๐ ๐›๐ž ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐›๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐š๐›๐ฅ๐ž ๐”๐’๐ˆ๐ƒ๐‘ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐จ๐ข๐ฅ-๐œ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž

 

Morning,

 

The Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) today (2/15) is expected to trade between 6,685pt – 6,780pt ย to attempt higher and ย supported by ย bargain hunters. ย The JCI today is expected to receive the Indonesia trade data release. Indonesia January trade surplus is estimated to be at the range of USD100mn-USD200mn (December: USD1.0bn, November: USD3.5bn, 2021:USD35.3bn).

 

Yesterday ย (2/14) the JCI finally happened to lose ground and reached day-lowest at 6,699pt, or 117pt off our lower-limit to close at 6,735pt or at 1.2% lower than the previous close. Our guidance to index-performance estimates tolerance has been ยฑ 15pt (fifteen points). On-going external volatilities as in ย the US equity and bond markets have been the main causes, we believe. Yesterday in the IDX saw a total moderate net of equity foreign buy of IDR400bn (regular market: IDR169bn). ย Meanwhile, the yield of Indonesia 10-year government bonds closed fairly- stable, higher by 1 bp to 6.508%.

 

Meanwhile, Wall Street yesterday (2/14) ย ended with the DJIA closed lower by 172pt, or 0.5% to 34,5668pt, while the S&P500 and the Nasdaq Composite both closed lower by 0.4% and 0.0%, respectively. Meanwhile, the yield of the benchmark 10-year US Treasury note closed relatively-steep of higher by 4bp to 1.99%.

 

At the other end, yesterday ย the WTI ย price closed higher by 2.5% to USD95.5/barrel, mainly on continued-worry of supply disruption in the view of Russia to invade Ukraine in the immediate short-term. Meanwhile, the USDIDR closed ย at IDR14,338 vs. IDR14,359 the previous one.

 

 

Cheers,

 

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