The JCI October 20, 2020

๐Ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐›๐ž๐ซ ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ, ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ

 

* ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐‰๐‚๐ˆ ๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ž : ๐Ÿ“,๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ๐ฉ๐ญ – ๐Ÿ“,๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ“๐ฉ๐ญ (๐˜๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ž๐ซ๐๐š๐ฒ ๐œ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž: ๐Ÿ“,๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ”๐ฉ๐ญ )

* ๐–๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐’๐ญ๐ซ๐ž๐ž๐ญ ๐œ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž๐ ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฐ๐ž๐ซ ๐›๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฆ๐ž ๐Ÿ.๐Ÿ“% ๐š๐œ๐ซ๐จ๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐›๐จ๐š๐ซ๐ ๐Ÿ๐š๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ข๐ง ๐ฎ๐ง๐œ๐ž๐ซ๐ญ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐ž๐ฌ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ข๐๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐š๐ฅ ๐ž๐ฅ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ฏ๐ž๐ฆ๐›๐ž๐ซ ๐Ÿ‘

* ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐‰๐‚๐ˆ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ž๐ฑ๐ฉ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐œ๐ญ๐ฎ๐š๐ญ๐ž ๐จ๐ง ๐š ๐œ๐š๐ฎ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ฎ๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐จ๐๐ž ๐š๐ง๐ ๐›๐ž๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐›๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐š๐›๐ฅ๐ž ๐”๐’๐ƒ๐ˆ๐ƒ๐‘ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐จ๐ข๐ฅ ๐œ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž

 

Morning,

 

The Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) today (10/20) is expected to be in the range of 5,050pt โ€“ 5,175pt, to fluctuate and being supported by bargain hunters.ย  Meanwhile, yesterday ย (10/19) the DJIA closed lower by ย 411 points or 1.4% to 28,195pt, while the ย S&P500 and the Nasdaq ended lower by 1.6% and 1.7%, respectively.

 

๐”๐ง๐œ๐ก๐š๐ง๐ ๐ž๐ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐œ ๐ซ๐ž๐Ÿ๐ž๐ซ๐ž๐ง๐œ๐ž ๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ฌ ย ๐ข๐ง ๐Ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐›๐ž๐ซ ๐ฆ๐š๐ค๐ž๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ๐œ๐ค ๐š๐ง๐ ๐Ÿ๐ข๐ง๐š๐ง๐œ๐ข๐š๐ฅ ๐ฆ๐š๐ซ๐ค๐ž๐ญ ๐š๐ฉ๐ฉ๐ž๐š๐ฅ๐ข๐ง๐  (๐Ÿ‘)

 

Foreign inflow is expected to trigger upward re-rating for stocks , ย as by latest data, domestic investors account of ย 73% of total investors in terms of value, much higher as compared to the last decades of 40%-55%.ย  In addition, latest Indonesia economic data pointed to higher activities in the 3Q ย that has led the central bank revised a smaller 3Q20 economic contraction than that of the previous one.ย  Furthermore, Bank Indonesia (BI) ย by the latest estimate, forecasts a positive GDP growth for 4Q20.ย  For next year, BI projects an economic growth of the range of 4.8%-5.8% YoY. ย These latest stream of financial and economic news should eventually resonance into a ย re-rating of counters across the board in the stock exchange within the medium term, we note.

 

At the other end, yesterdayย  the WTI price closed almost unchangedย  at USD40.8/barrel as compared to the previous one of UD40.96/barrel. ย OPEC+, currently curb oil production by 7.7 bpd, down from cuts totaling 9.7mn bpd, and are due to reduce the cuts by a further 2mn bpd in January. OPEC+ organization credits itself as being flexible to be in-tune to the market condition. Meanwhile, yesterday the USDIDR ย closedย  at IDR14.741 vs. IDR14.760 the previous one.

 

We advise the following recommendations, for both trading and longer-time investment purpose. ๐€๐€๐‹๐ˆ, ๐‹๐’๐ˆ๐ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜ˆ๐˜จ๐˜ณ๐˜ช, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜œ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต ), ๐”๐๐“๐‘, ๐ˆ๐“๐Œ๐†, ๐€๐ƒ๐‘๐Ž, ๐๐“๐๐€ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜Š๐˜ฐ๐˜ข๐˜ญ ๐˜”๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜”๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต-๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต), ๐†๐†๐‘๐Œ, ๐”๐๐•๐‘, ๐ˆ๐‚๐๐ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜Š๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ด๐˜ถ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜–๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต ), ๐€๐’๐ˆ๐ˆ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜ˆ๐˜ถ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ท๐˜ฆ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜”๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต-๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต), ๐š๐ง๐ ๐€๐‚๐„๐’, ๐’๐‚๐Œ๐€, ๐Œ๐€๐๐ˆ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜›๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜–๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต),๐š๐ง๐ ๐“๐Š๐ˆ๐Œ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜‰๐˜ข๐˜ด๐˜ช๐˜ค ๐˜๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ๐˜ถ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜บ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜”๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต-๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต).

 

Cheers,

 

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