The JCI February 24, 2020

Fᴇʙʀᴜᴀʀʏ 24, 2020

* Tʜᴇ JCI ᴛʀᴀᴅɪɴɢ ʀᴀɴɢᴇ: 5,825ᴘᴛ – 5,900ᴘᴛ  (Fʀɪᴅᴀʏ ᴄʟᴏsᴇ: 5,882ᴘᴛ)

* Wᴀʟʟ Sᴛʀᴇᴇᴛ ᴄʟᴏsᴇᴅ  sʟɪᴅɪɴɢ ғᴜʀᴛʜᴇʀ ᴏɴ sᴜʀɢɪɴɢ ᴅᴇᴀᴛʜ ᴛᴏʟʟ ᴏғ Cᴏʀᴏɴᴀᴠɪʀᴜs ɪɴғᴇᴄᴛᴇᴅ

* Tʜᴇ JCI ɪs ᴇxᴘᴇᴄᴛᴇᴅ ᴛᴏ ʜᴏʟᴅ ᴜᴘ sᴇʟʟɪɴɢ ᴘʀᴇssᴜʀᴇs ʙʏ sᴜᴘᴘᴏʀᴛ ᴏғ ʟᴏᴡᴇʀ BI-7DRRR ᴀɴᴅ sᴛᴀʙʟᴇ USDIDR ᴄʟᴏsᴇ

Morning,

The Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) today  (24/2) is expected to be in the range of 5,825pt-5,900pt likely be propped up by lower reference rates  and stable USDIDR closes.    Meanwhile, Friday last week (21/2) in the United States, the DJIA closed lower by 228 points or 0.8% to 28,922pt, and the S&P500 and the Nasdaq each declined by 1.1% and 1.8% respectively. Wall Street jittered over news stream on surging number of cases of Coronavirus (COVID-19) infected.

Meanwhile, the WTI price slid by 0.9%  at USD53.4/barrel Friday, as compared to the previous close.  At the other end, USDIDR closed at IDR13,777 vs. IDR13,735 the previous one.

In the breaking news Saturday last week,  the International Monetary Fund (IMF), factoring in the economic  impact of COVID-19,   announced a downward revision on China GDP growth estimate this year to 5.6% YoY from previously 6.0% YoY.  Furthermore, IMF also lowered global growth estimate and  projection to 2.9% in 2019 3.3% this year, both down by 0.1ppt.

We advise the following recommendation for 1Q20. 𝐀𝐀𝐋𝐈, 𝐋𝐒𝐈𝐏 (𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐨𝐫 𝐨𝐟 𝘈𝘨𝘳𝘪, 𝐚𝐥𝐥𝐨𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐬𝐮𝐠𝐠𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝘜𝘯𝘥𝘦𝘳𝘸𝘦𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵 ), 𝐔𝐍𝐓𝐑, 𝐈𝐓𝐌𝐆, 𝐀𝐃𝐑𝐎, 𝐏𝐓𝐁𝐀 (𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐨𝐫 𝐨𝐟 𝘊𝘰𝘢𝘭 𝘔𝘪𝘯𝘪𝘯𝘨, 𝐚𝐥𝐥𝐨𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐬𝐮𝐠𝐠𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝘔𝘢𝘳𝘬𝘦𝘵-𝘸𝘦𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵), 𝐆𝐆𝐑𝐌, 𝐔𝐍𝐕𝐑, 𝐈𝐂𝐁𝐏 (𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐨𝐫 𝐨𝐟 𝘊𝘰𝘯𝘴𝘶𝘮𝘦𝘳, 𝐚𝐥𝐥𝐨𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐬𝐮𝐠𝐠𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝘖𝘷𝘦𝘳𝘸𝘦𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵 ), 𝐀𝐒𝐈𝐈 (𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐨𝐫 𝐨𝐟 𝘈𝘶𝘵𝘰𝘮𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘷𝘦, 𝐚𝐥𝐥𝐨𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐬𝐮𝐠𝐠𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝘔𝘢𝘳𝘬𝘦𝘵-𝘸𝘦𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵), 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐀𝐂𝐄𝐒, 𝐒𝐂𝐌𝐀, 𝐌𝐀𝐏𝐈 (𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐨𝐫 𝐨𝐟 𝘛𝘳𝘢𝘥𝘦, 𝐚𝐥𝐥𝐨𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐬𝐮𝐠𝐠𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝘖𝘷𝘦𝘳𝘸𝘦𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵),𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐓𝐊𝐈𝐌 (𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐨𝐫 𝐨𝐟 𝘉𝘢𝘴𝘪𝘤 𝘐𝘯𝘥𝘶𝘴𝘵𝘳𝘺, 𝐚𝐥𝐥𝐨𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐬𝐮𝐠𝐠𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝘔𝘢𝘳𝘬𝘦𝘵-𝘸𝘦𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵).

Cheers,