The JCI April 15, 2020
Aᴘʀɪʟ 15, 2020
* Tʜᴇ JCI ᴛʀᴀᴅɪɴɢ ʀᴀɴɢᴇ: 4,640ᴘᴛ – 4,825ᴘᴛ (Yᴇsᴛᴇʀᴅᴀʏ ᴄʟᴏsᴇ: 4,707ᴘᴛ)
* Wᴀʟʟ Sᴛʀᴇᴇᴛ ᴇɴᴅᴇᴅ ʜɪɢʜᴇʀ ʙʏ ᴄ.3% ᴏɴ ʜᴏᴘᴇ ᴛʜᴀᴛ sᴏᴄɪᴀʟ ᴅɪsᴛᴀɴᴄɪɴɢ ᴍᴇᴀsᴜʀᴇs ɪɴ ᴛʜᴇ US ʙᴇ ʟɪꜰᴛᴇᴅ ᴀᴛ ᴇɴᴅ ᴏꜰ Aᴘʀɪʟ
* Tʜᴇ JCI ɪs ᴇxᴘᴇᴄᴛᴇᴅ ᴛᴏ ᴇxᴛᴇɴᴅ ɢᴀɪɴ ᴏɴ sᴛʀᴏɴɢᴇʀ USDIDR ʙᴜᴛ ʀᴇsᴛʀᴀɪɴᴇᴅ ʙʏ ʟᴏᴡᴇʀ ᴏɪʟ ᴄʟᴏsᴇ
Morning,
The Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) today (15/4) is expected to be in the range of 4,640pt-4,825pt, expected to be supported by stronger USDIDR but restrained by significant drop in oil close yesterday (14/4). Against market consensus, yesterday the Indonesia central bank Bank Indonesia (BI) decided to keep BI7D-RRR unchanged at 4.5%, with consideration of USDIDR stability , among others. The JCI responded well as investors had more confidence in the domestic economy. On the bonds offer to global investors yesterday, the government received bid of IDR27.7tr against targeted IDR20tr, while the yield of a 10 year – note declined by 8.5bp to 8.03% indicating stronger demand.
At the other end, the IMF had just released its latest revised version on the global growth for this year, at a contraction of 3% YoY (previously a growth of 3.3% YoY), while international trade growth rate also being revised to a contraction of between 13%-32% this year.
Meanwhile, the WTI price closed at USD20.1/barrel yesterday or lower by 10.3% as compared to the previous close as demand is perceived to remain bleak amid production cut. At the other end, USDIDR yesterday strengthened to IDR15.722 vs. IDR15.840 the previous close.
We advise the following recommendation as for now, for both trading and longer-time investment purpose. 𝐀𝐀𝐋𝐈, 𝐋𝐒𝐈𝐏 (𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐨𝐫 𝐨𝐟 𝘈𝘨𝘳𝘪, 𝐚𝐥𝐥𝐨𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐬𝐮𝐠𝐠𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝘜𝘯𝘥𝘦𝘳𝘸𝘦𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵 ), 𝐔𝐍𝐓𝐑, 𝐈𝐓𝐌𝐆, 𝐀𝐃𝐑𝐎, 𝐏𝐓𝐁𝐀 (𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐨𝐫 𝐨𝐟 𝘊𝘰𝘢𝘭 𝘔𝘪𝘯𝘪𝘯𝘨, 𝐚𝐥𝐥𝐨𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐬𝐮𝐠𝐠𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝘔𝘢𝘳𝘬𝘦𝘵-𝘸𝘦𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵), 𝐆𝐆𝐑𝐌, 𝐔𝐍𝐕𝐑, 𝐈𝐂𝐁𝐏 (𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐨𝐫 𝐨𝐟 𝘊𝘰𝘯𝘴𝘶𝘮𝘦𝘳, 𝐚𝐥𝐥𝐨𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐬𝐮𝐠𝐠𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝘖𝘷𝘦𝘳𝘸𝘦𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵 ), 𝐀𝐒𝐈𝐈 (𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐨𝐫 𝐨𝐟 𝘈𝘶𝘵𝘰𝘮𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘷𝘦, 𝐚𝐥𝐥𝐨𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐬𝐮𝐠𝐠𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝘔𝘢𝘳𝘬𝘦𝘵-𝘸𝘦𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵), 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐀𝐂𝐄𝐒, 𝐒𝐂𝐌𝐀, 𝐌𝐀𝐏𝐈 (𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐨𝐫 𝐨𝐟 𝘛𝘳𝘢𝘥𝘦, 𝐚𝐥𝐥𝐨𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐬𝐮𝐠𝐠𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝘖𝘷𝘦𝘳𝘸𝘦𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵),𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐓𝐊𝐈𝐌 (𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐨𝐫 𝐨𝐟 𝘉𝘢𝘴𝘪𝘤 𝘐𝘯𝘥𝘶𝘴𝘵𝘳𝘺, 𝐚𝐥𝐥𝐨𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐬𝐮𝐠𝐠𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝘔𝘢𝘳𝘬𝘦𝘵-𝘸𝘦𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵).
Cheers,