The JCI February 5, 2021

๐…๐ž๐›๐ซ๐ฎ๐š๐ซ๐ฒ ๐Ÿ“, ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ

 

* ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐‰๐‚๐ˆ ๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ž: ๐Ÿ”,๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“๐ฉ๐ญ – ๐Ÿ”,๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“๐ฉ๐ญย  (๐˜๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ž๐ซ๐๐š๐ฒ ๐œ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž:๐Ÿ”,๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ•๐ฉ๐ญ)

* ๐–๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐’๐ญ๐ซ๐ž๐ž๐ญ ๐ž๐ง๐๐ž๐ย  ๐›๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฆ๐ž ๐Ÿ% ๐ก๐ข๐ ๐ก๐ž๐ซ, ๐ฆ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐จ๐ง ๐›๐ž๐ญ๐ญ๐ž๐ซ-๐ญ๐ก๐š๐ง-๐ž๐ฑ๐ฉ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐Ÿ’๐’๐ฌ ๐ž๐š๐ซ๐ง๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐ž๐ฅ๐ž๐š๐ฌ๐ž ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐”๐ง๐ข๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐’๐ญ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ฌ (๐”๐’) ๐๐š๐ญ๐š ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐Ÿ๐ข๐ซ๐ฌ๐ญ-๐ญ๐ข๐ฆ๐ž๐ซ๐ฌ ๐œ๐ฅ๐š๐ข๐ฆ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ฎ๐ง๐ž๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฒ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐›๐ž๐ง๐ž๐Ÿ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ

* ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐‰๐‚๐ˆ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ž๐ฑ๐ฉ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐œ๐ญ๐ฎ๐š๐ญ๐ž ๐š๐ง๐ ๐›๐ž๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐›๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐š๐›๐ฅ๐ž ๐”๐’๐ƒ๐ˆ๐ƒ๐‘ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐จ๐ข๐ฅ-๐œ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž

 

Morning,

 

The Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) today (2/5) is expected to be in the range of 6,025pt โ€“ 6,225pt to fluctuate and incline higher although limitedly. Meanwhile, yesterday (2/4) ย the DJIA closed higher ย by 332 ย points or by 1.1% to 31,056pt, while the S&P500 and the Nasdaq both ended higher by 1.1% and 1.2% , respectively.

 

๐ˆ๐ง๐๐จ๐ง๐ž๐ฌ๐ข๐š ๐Ÿ’๐๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ ๐ž๐œ๐จ๐ง๐จ๐ฆ๐ข๐œ ๐ ๐ซ๐จ๐ฐ๐ญ๐ก ๐๐š๐ญ๐š ๐ซ๐ž๐ฅ๐ž๐š๐ฌ๐ž ๐ญ๐จ๐๐š๐ฒ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ž๐ฑ๐ฉ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐œ๐ซ๐ž๐š๐ญ๐ž ๐›๐ซ๐ข๐ž๐Ÿ ๐œ๐ก๐ž๐ž๐ซ๐ฌ ๐š๐ฆ๐ข๐ ๐ก๐ข๐ ๐ก๐ž๐ซ ๐ฎ๐ง๐œ๐ž๐ซ๐ญ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐ฒ ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐œ๐ž๐ซ๐ง๐ข๐ง๐  ๐‚๐Ž๐•๐ˆ๐ƒ-๐Ÿ๐Ÿ— ๐ฌ๐ญ๐š๐ง๐œ๐ž ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐œ๐จ๐ฎ๐ง๐ญ๐ซ๐ฒ

 

By Reuters polling estimate, domestic 4Q20 GDP growth is expected to be on an average of -2% YoY (3Q20:-3.49% YoY, 2Q20: -5.32% YoY: 3Q19: +5.02% YoY), and of ย 0.7% QoQ (3Q20: 5.05% QoQ, ย 2Q20:-4.19% QoQ, 3Q19:+3.06% QoQ).ย  On a full year basis, the poll estimates call for a consensus average ย of -2% YoY (2019: 5.02% YoY, 2018: 5.17% YoY, 2017: 5.07%).

 

At the other end, Positivity Rates of COVID-19 daily new cases in Jakarta city is at 21.5% on February 3, 19.7% (2/2), 20.7% (2/1), and 30.1% (1/31), all of which are not an encouraging array of figures. From the media this morning, Jakarta city Vice Governor Ahmad Riza Patria is quoted to finalize this weekend, a possible policy ย to re-implement total lock-down for the capital city ย to response for the latest pandemic data.

 

At the other end, yesterday ย the WTI price closed higher by 0.6% to USD56.0/barrel as compared ย to the previous close, after government data showed US crude stockpiles fell to their lowest since March, while OPEC+ maintained its supply cut agreement. ย Meanwhile, the USDIDR ย closedย  at IDR14,036 ย vs. IDR14,017 the previous one.

 

We advise the following recommendations, for both trading and longer-time investment purpose. ๐€๐€๐‹๐ˆ, ๐‹๐’๐ˆ๐ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜ˆ๐˜จ๐˜ณ๐˜ช, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜œ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต ), ๐”๐๐“๐‘, ๐ˆ๐“๐Œ๐†, ๐€๐ƒ๐‘๐Ž, ๐๐“๐๐€ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜Š๐˜ฐ๐˜ข๐˜ญ ๐˜”๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜”๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต-๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต), ๐’๐ˆ๐ƒ๐Ž, ๐”๐‹๐“๐‰, ๐”๐๐•๐‘, ๐ˆ๐‚๐๐ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜Š๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ด๐˜ถ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜–๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต ), ๐š๐ง๐ ๐€๐‚๐„๐’, ๐’๐‚๐Œ๐€, ๐Œ๐€๐๐ˆ,๐Œ๐๐‚๐ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜›๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜–๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต),๐š๐ง๐ ๐“๐Š๐ˆ๐Œ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜‰๐˜ข๐˜ด๐˜ช๐˜ค ๐˜๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ๐˜ถ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜บ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜”๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต-๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต).

 

Cheers,

 

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