The JCI February 8, 2022

๐…๐ž๐›๐ซ๐ฎ๐š๐ซ๐ฒ ๐Ÿ–, ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ

 

* ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐‰๐‚๐ˆ ๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ž: ๐Ÿ”,๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ”๐ŸŽ๐ฉ๐ญ – ๐Ÿ”,๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ–๐ŸŽ๐ฉ๐ญย  (๐Œ๐จ๐ง๐๐š๐ฒ ๐œ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž: ๐Ÿ”,๐Ÿ–๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ“๐ฉ๐ญ)

* ๐–๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐’๐ญ๐ซ๐ž๐ž๐ญ ๐ž๐ง๐๐ž๐ ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก ๐›๐ซ๐จ๐š๐๐ž๐ซ ๐’&๐๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐๐š๐ฌ๐๐š๐ช ๐‚๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ž๐ฌ ๐œ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž๐ ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฐ๐ž๐ซ ๐›๐ฒ ๐œ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ%, ๐ฆ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐จ๐ง ๐ฃ๐ข๐ญ๐ญ๐ž๐ซ๐ฌ ๐จ๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ข๐ง๐œ๐จ๐ฆ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐”๐ง๐ข๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐’๐ญ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ฌ (๐”๐’) ๐ข๐ง๐Ÿ๐ฅ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐š๐ญ๐š, ๐š๐ฆ๐จ๐ง๐  ๐จ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ซ๐ฌ, ๐š๐Ÿ๐ญ๐ž๐ซ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐œ๐ก-๐ก๐ข๐ ๐ก๐ž๐ซ-๐ญ๐ก๐š๐ง-๐ž๐ฑ๐ฉ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐‰๐š๐ง๐ฎ๐š๐ซ๐ฒ’๐ฌ ๐ฃ๐จ๐› ๐ ๐ซ๐จ๐ฐ๐ญ๐ก

* ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐‰๐‚๐ˆ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ž๐ฑ๐ฉ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐œ๐ญ๐ฎ๐š๐ญ๐ž ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐›๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐š๐›๐ฅ๐ž ๐”๐’๐ƒ๐ˆ๐ƒ๐‘ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐จ๐ข๐ฅ-๐œ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž

 

Morning,

 

The Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) today (2/8) is expected to trade between 6,760pt – 6,880pt ย to attempt higher and ย supported by ย bargain hunters. ย The JCI today is expected to still be in the euphoria of the countryโ€™s higher-than-expected 4Q21 GDP figures.ย  Nevertheless, upside is to be restrained by latest position of the capital city Jakarta pandemic-restriction measures. Effective today the cityโ€™s activitiesโ€™ level return to 25%-50% maximum activitiesโ€™ (Level 3) as compared to the previous 75%-100% level.

 

ย Indonesia GDP growth in the 4Q21 hit rate of 5.02% YoY, and 1.06% QoQ, while for the full year 2021 recorded a growth rate of 3.69% YoY. The full year figure actually less-than-widely expected, of the latest estimate ย range of ย 3.8% to 4.5% YoY. As for 4Q21, we had estimated a general growth rate across the sector of 3% to factor in lift of activities restrictions,and ย proven to be an overestimate. Overall, the domestic equity market positively response for the countryโ€™s 4Q21 economic improvement together with immediate-future counting, we reckon.

 

Meanwhile, Wall Street yesterday (2/7) ย ended with the DJIA closed higher by 1pt, or 0.00% to 35,091pt, while the S&P500 and the Nasdaq Composite both closed lower by 0.4% and 0.6%, respectively. A major investment bank somehowย  envisioning a 7 (seven) 0.25ppt-hike to occur this year. Higher financial charges is expected to significantly impacted the companies expenses, especially those of main constituents in the S&P500 and the Nasdaq.

 

At the other end, last week ย the WTI ย price closed lower by 1.1% to USD91.3/barrel, mainly on prospect output from Iran along with the restoration of sanctions waiver of the country by the US. ย Meanwhile, the USDIDR closed ย at IDR14,404 vs. IDR14,376 ย the previous one.

 

 

Cheers,

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