The JCI July 29, 2021

๐‰๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—, ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ

 

* ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐‰๐‚๐ˆ ๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ž:๐Ÿ”,๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ๐ฉ๐ญ – ๐Ÿ”,๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ๐ฉ๐ญย  (๐˜๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ž๐ซ๐๐š๐ฒ ๐œ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž: ๐Ÿ”,๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ—๐ฉ๐ญ)

* ๐–๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐’๐ญ๐ซ๐ž๐ž๐ญ ๐ž๐ง๐๐ž๐ ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐๐š๐ฌ๐๐š๐ช ๐œ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž๐ ๐ก๐ข๐ ๐ก๐ž๐ซ ๐›๐ฒ ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ•%, ๐ฆ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐”๐ง๐ข๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐’๐ญ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ฌ (๐”๐’) ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐…๐ž๐ ๐œ๐ก๐š๐ข๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ง ๐ฌ๐ญ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐‰๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ฒ’๐ฌ ๐…๐Ž๐Œ๐‚ ๐ซ๐ž๐ฅ๐ž๐š๐ฌ๐ž ๐ญ๐ก๐š๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐›๐š๐ง๐ค ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ฆ๐จ๐ง๐ข๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฆ๐จ๐ซ๐ž ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐›๐ฌ๐ญ๐š๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐š๐ฅ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐จ๐ ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ž๐ซ๐ฆ๐ฌ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐”๐’ ๐ฅ๐š๐›๐จ๐ซ ๐ฆ๐š๐ซ๐ค๐ž๐ญ ๐›๐ž๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ž ๐ข๐ญ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐š๐ซ๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ญ๐š๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ฉ๐ซ๐จ๐ ๐ซ๐š๐ฆ๐ฌ

* ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐‰๐‚๐ˆ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ž๐ฑ๐ฉ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐œ๐ญ๐ฎ๐š๐ญ๐ž ๐š๐ง๐ ๐›๐ž ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐›๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐š๐›๐ฅ๐ž ๐”๐’๐ƒ๐ˆ๐ƒ๐‘ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐จ๐ข๐ฅ-๐œ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž

 

Morning,

 

The Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) today (7/29) ย is expected to trade between 6,050pt to 6,150pt and to gain edge within the sideways, also supported by bargain hunters.

 

Meanwhile, yesterday ย (7/28) Wall Street ended with the DJIA closed lower by 126 points or 0.2% to 34,931pt, while the S&P500 and the Nasdaq both closed lower by 0.02% and higher by 0.7%, ย respectively. As expected, the US central bank kept the FFR unchanged during this monthโ€™s FOMC, citing also the spread of the new variant of COVID-19 ย among factors being considered.

 

In its latest release of July 27, the IMF maintains global growth estimate for 2021 at 6.0% YoY, unchanged from the Aprilโ€™s one.ย  Growth drivers within the Advanced Economies (AE) are those of the US (7.0% YoY), and the United Kingdom (7.0% YoY). Nevertheless, given the latest development of the Developing Economies (DE) ย which currently being estimated to grow by 6.3% YoY, divergences of growth pace among the AE and DE is expected to widen coming to the year-end. This implies a less possibility of pleasant sharp surprises for equity indices in the DE, we reckon.

At the other end, yesterdayย the WTI price closed higher by 1.0% to USD72.4/barrel, mainly supported by weekly US crude inventories data release by the EIA that recorded a decrease of4.1mn barrels or higher-than-estimated. ย ย Meanwhile, the USDIDR ย closed ย at IDR14,498 vs. IDR14,494 the previous one.

 

We advise the following recommendations, for both trading and longer-time investment purpose. ๐€๐€๐‹๐ˆ, ๐‹๐’๐ˆ๐ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜ˆ๐˜จ๐˜ณ๐˜ช, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜œ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต ), ๐”๐๐“๐‘, ๐ˆ๐“๐Œ๐†, ๐€๐ƒ๐‘๐Ž, ๐๐“๐๐€ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜Š๐˜ฐ๐˜ข๐˜ญ ๐˜”๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜”๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต-๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต), ๐’๐ˆ๐ƒ๐Ž, ๐”๐‹๐“๐‰, ๐”๐๐•๐‘, ๐ˆ๐‚๐๐ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜Š๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ด๐˜ถ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜–๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต ), ๐š๐ง๐ ๐€๐‚๐„๐’, ๐’๐‚๐Œ๐€, ๐Œ๐€๐๐ˆ,๐Œ๐๐‚๐ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜›๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜–๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต),๐š๐ง๐ ๐“๐Š๐ˆ๐Œ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜‰๐˜ข๐˜ด๐˜ช๐˜ค ๐˜๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ๐˜ถ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜บ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜”๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต-๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต).

 

Cheers,

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