The JCI July 7, 2021

๐‰๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐Ÿ•, ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ

 

* ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐‰๐‚๐ˆ ๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ž:๐Ÿ“,๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ“๐ฉ๐ญ – ๐Ÿ”,๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ๐ฉ๐ญย  (๐˜๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ž๐ซ๐๐š๐ฒ ๐œ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž: ๐Ÿ”,๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ•๐ฉ๐ญ)

* ๐–๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐’๐ญ๐ซ๐ž๐ž๐ญ ๐ž๐ง๐๐ž๐ ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ƒ๐‰๐ˆ๐€ ๐œ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž๐ ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฐ๐ž๐ซ ๐›๐ฒ ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ”%, ๐ฆ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐š๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐œ๐ž๐ฅ๐ž๐›๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐จ๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐”๐ง๐ข๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐’๐ญ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ฌ (๐”๐’) ๐ซ๐จ๐›๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ซ๐ž๐œ๐จ๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ๐ฒ ๐ฉ๐š๐œ๐ž ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ฒ๐ž๐š๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ฅ๐ข๐ ๐ก๐ญ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐Ÿ๐š๐๐ž

* ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐‰๐‚๐ˆ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ž๐ฑ๐ฉ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐œ๐ญ๐ฎ๐š๐ญ๐ž ๐š๐ง๐ ๐›๐ž ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐›๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐š๐›๐ฅ๐ž ๐”๐’๐ƒ๐ˆ๐ƒ๐‘ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ-๐ฒ๐ž๐š๐ซ ๐ฒ๐ข๐ž๐ฅ๐ ๐๐ข๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐ž๐ซ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐š๐ฅ ๐ ๐จ๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ๐ง๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐›๐จ๐ง๐๐ฌ

 

Morning,

The Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) today (7/7) is expected to be in the range of 5,975pt โ€“ 6,100pt ย ย to stick around also on bargain huntersโ€™ support.ย  Meanwhile, yesterday (7/6) Wall Street ended with the DJIA closed lower by 209 points or 0.6% to 34,577pt, while the S&P500 and the Nasdaq close lower by 0.2% and higher by 0.2%, respectively.

 

๐”๐ฅ๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐ฃ๐š๐ฒ๐š ๐Œ๐ข๐ฅ๐ค ๐ˆ๐ง๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฒ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐“๐ซ๐š๐๐ข๐ง๐  ๐‚๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐š๐ง๐ฒ (๐”๐‹๐“๐‰)

ULTJ is one of sharia-based, stable consumer company which might be of an interest of long-tem investors. During the pandemic year 2020, ULTJ posted a reasonable revenue contraction of 4% YoY, while bottom line slightly increased to IDR1.1tr against IDR1.0tr in 2019. 1Q21 performance saw a revenue contraction of 4% YoY, and bottom line of 8% YoY. ย With gearing level stable, the counter might ride the upward cycle of the economy.

 

ULTJ is a second-liner counter, with a latest capitalization of IDR18tr, or around 20% ย that of major consumer names such as ICBP . For an investor holding the share (last close of IDR1,530) , for example in 5 years time, current potential gain is recorded at an annual rate of 6%, excluding dividend (1%-2% annually). This potential return (annual of around 7%-8%), given the current pandemic environment and given the counterโ€™s non-volatile nature, is sufficient ( a 12-month deposit rate in major established bank is currently at 2.8% pa) ย if not more-than, we note.

 

At the other end, yesterdayย ย the WTI price closed, after a volatile trading sessions, ย lower by 2.4% to USD73.4/barrel, mainly on the uncertainty of production level for the month of August and beyond.ย  During the latest OPEC+ members meeting on Monday (7/5) the group failed to reach an agreement , while the time for the next meeting has yet to be announced. ย ย ย Meanwhile, the USDIDR ย closed ย at IDR14,468 vs. IDR14,482 the previous one.

 

We advise the following recommendations, for both trading and longer-time investment purpose. ๐€๐€๐‹๐ˆ, ๐‹๐’๐ˆ๐ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜ˆ๐˜จ๐˜ณ๐˜ช, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜œ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต ), ๐”๐๐“๐‘, ๐ˆ๐“๐Œ๐†, ๐€๐ƒ๐‘๐Ž, ๐๐“๐๐€ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜Š๐˜ฐ๐˜ข๐˜ญ ๐˜”๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜”๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต-๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต), ๐’๐ˆ๐ƒ๐Ž, ๐”๐‹๐“๐‰, ๐”๐๐•๐‘, ๐ˆ๐‚๐๐ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜Š๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ด๐˜ถ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜–๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต ), ๐š๐ง๐ ๐€๐‚๐„๐’, ๐’๐‚๐Œ๐€, ๐Œ๐€๐๐ˆ,๐Œ๐๐‚๐ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜›๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜–๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต),๐š๐ง๐ ๐“๐Š๐ˆ๐Œ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜‰๐˜ข๐˜ด๐˜ช๐˜ค ๐˜๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ๐˜ถ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜บ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜”๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต-๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต).

 

Cheers,

Download

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *