The JCI March 4, 2020
Mᴀʀᴄʜ 4, 2020
* Tʜᴇ JCI ᴛʀᴀᴅɪɴɢ ʀᴀɴɢᴇ : 5,450ᴘᴛ -5,550ᴘᴛ (Yᴇsᴛᴇʀᴅᴀʏ ᴄʟᴏsᴇ: 5,519ᴘᴛ)
* Wᴀʟʟ Sᴛʀᴇᴇᴛ ᴇɴᴅᴇᴅ ᴡᴇᴀᴋᴇɴᴇᴅ ᴀꜰᴛᴇʀ ᴛʜᴇ Fᴇᴅ ᴄᴜᴛ ʀᴀᴛᴇs ʙʏ 50ʙᴘ
* Tʜᴇ JCI ɪs ᴇxᴘᴇᴄᴛᴇᴅ ᴛᴏ ꜰʟᴜᴄᴛᴜᴀᴛᴇ ʟɪᴋᴇʟʏ ᴛᴏ ʀᴇᴛʀᴇᴀᴛ, ʙᴜᴛ sᴜᴘᴘᴏʀᴛᴇᴅ ʙʏ ʜɪɢʜᴇʀ ᴏɪʟ ᴀɴᴅ USDIDR ᴄʟᴏsᴇ
Morning,
The Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) today (4/3) is expected to be in the range of 5,450t-5,550pt, to fight profit takings but supported by positive USDIDR and oil close. Meanwhile, yesterday (3/3) in the United States (US), the DJIA closed weaker by 786 points or 2.9% to 25,917pt, and the S&P500 and the Nasdaq ended lower by 2.8% and 3.0% respectively. Wall Street opted for sellings following the Fed decision to cut rates by 50bp (to target range of 1.00%-1.25%) on account of Coronavirus likely impact to the US economies. Came after this, the 10 year US Treasury yield declined to below 1%, or at its historical low. The US central bank did a monthly meeting 2 (two) weeks ahead of schedule for the urgent call as Coronavirus spreading intensified.
Meanwhile, the WTI price closed with a hike of 0.9% at USD47.2/barrel yesterday as compared to the previous close. At the other end, USDIDR closed to IDR14,413 vs. IDR14,222 the previous one.
We advise the following recommendation for 1Q20. 𝐀𝐀𝐋𝐈, 𝐋𝐒𝐈𝐏 (𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐨𝐫 𝐨𝐟 𝘈𝘨𝘳𝘪, 𝐚𝐥𝐥𝐨𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐬𝐮𝐠𝐠𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝘜𝘯𝘥𝘦𝘳𝘸𝘦𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵 ), 𝐔𝐍𝐓𝐑, 𝐈𝐓𝐌𝐆, 𝐀𝐃𝐑𝐎, 𝐏𝐓𝐁𝐀 (𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐨𝐫 𝐨𝐟 𝘊𝘰𝘢𝘭 𝘔𝘪𝘯𝘪𝘯𝘨, 𝐚𝐥𝐥𝐨𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐬𝐮𝐠𝐠𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝘔𝘢𝘳𝘬𝘦𝘵-𝘸𝘦𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵), 𝐆𝐆𝐑𝐌, 𝐔𝐍𝐕𝐑, 𝐈𝐂𝐁𝐏 (𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐨𝐫 𝐨𝐟 𝘊𝘰𝘯𝘴𝘶𝘮𝘦𝘳, 𝐚𝐥𝐥𝐨𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐬𝐮𝐠𝐠𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝘖𝘷𝘦𝘳𝘸𝘦𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵 ), 𝐀𝐒𝐈𝐈 (𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐨𝐫 𝐨𝐟 𝘈𝘶𝘵𝘰𝘮𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘷𝘦, 𝐚𝐥𝐥𝐨𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐬𝐮𝐠𝐠𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝘔𝘢𝘳𝘬𝘦𝘵-𝘸𝘦𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵), 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐀𝐂𝐄𝐒, 𝐒𝐂𝐌𝐀, 𝐌𝐀𝐏𝐈 (𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐨𝐫 𝐨𝐟 𝘛𝘳𝘢𝘥𝘦, 𝐚𝐥𝐥𝐨𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐬𝐮𝐠𝐠𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝘖𝘷𝘦𝘳𝘸𝘦𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵),𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐓𝐊𝐈𝐌 (𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐨𝐫 𝐨𝐟 𝘉𝘢𝘴𝘪𝘤 𝘐𝘯𝘥𝘶𝘴𝘵𝘳𝘺, 𝐚𝐥𝐥𝐨𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐬𝐮𝐠𝐠𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝘔𝘢𝘳𝘬𝘦𝘵-𝘸𝘦𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵).
Cheers,