The JCI May 4, 2021
๐๐๐ฒ ๐, ๐๐๐๐
* ๐๐ก๐ ๐๐๐ ๐ญ๐ซ๐๐๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ซ๐๐ง๐ ๐: ๐,๐๐๐๐ฉ๐ญ – ๐,๐๐๐๐ฉ๐ญย (๐๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐๐ซ๐๐๐ฒ ๐๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐: ๐,๐๐๐๐ฉ๐ญ)
* ๐๐๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐๐ญ๐ซ๐๐๐ญ ๐๐ง๐๐๐ ๐ก๐ข๐ ๐ก๐๐ซ ๐๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฆ๐ ๐.๐% ๐ฆ๐๐ข๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐จ๐ง ๐ ๐๐ง๐๐ซ๐๐ฅ ๐จ๐ฉ๐ญ๐ข๐ฆ๐ข๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ฌ ๐จ๐ ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐จ๐จ๐ญ๐ก ๐ฏ๐๐๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ฌ ๐ซ๐จ๐ฅ๐ฅ-๐จ๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐๐ง๐ข๐ญ๐๐ ๐๐ญ๐๐ญ๐๐ฌ (๐๐), ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฅ๐๐ฑ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐จ๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ข๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ฆ๐๐ฃ๐จ๐ซ ๐๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐๐ฌ, ๐๐๐๐๐ฅ๐๐ซ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐๐๐ซ๐ง๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ฌ, ๐๐ฆ๐จ๐ง๐ ๐จ๐ญ๐ก๐๐ซ๐ฌ
* ๐๐ก๐ ๐๐๐ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐ฑ๐ฉ๐๐๐ญ๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ญ๐ฎ๐๐ญ๐ ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐ ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐๐ ๐๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐๐๐ฅ๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐ง๐ ๐จ๐ข๐ฅ-๐๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐
Morning,
The Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) today (5/4) is expected to be in the range of 5,900pt โ 6,050pt, to fluctuate and supported by bargain hunters. ย Meanwhile, yesterday (5/3), the DJIA closed higher by ย 238 points or 0.7% to 34,113pt, while the S&P500 and the Nasdaq ended higher by 0.3% and lower by ย 0.5%, respectively.
Yesterday, the JCI was trading slightly worse-than-expected in-terms ofย consensusโ support level, which we reckon is linked to lower-than-expected inflation level in April.ย Aprilโs headline inflation rate is at 0.13% MoM (March: 0.08%MoM), lower than Bank Indonesia (BI)ย estimate of 0.18% MoM, and of consensusโ of 0.16% MoM.ย On an annual basis, the CPI rate in April increased by 1.42% YoY (March:1.37% YoY), lower-than BI estimate of 1.47% YoY and 1.45% YoY of consensusโ estimate. Aprilโs CPI to a large extent show that consumersโ spending is still in very cautious mode, which eventually to impact recovery pace.
At the other end, last week the WTI price ended higher by ย 1.4% to USD64.5/barrel , along with the smooth COVID-19 ย vaccination program both in the worldโs two top oil consumers, the US and China. Meanwhile, the USDIDR ย closedย at IDR14,467 vs. IDR14,453 the previous one.
We advise the following recommendations, for both trading and longer-time investment purpose. ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐จ๐ณ๐ช, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ฏ๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต ), ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ ๐๐ช๐ฏ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต-๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต), ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ด๐ถ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ณ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต ), ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐,๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ณ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฆ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต),๐๐ง๐ ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ข๐ด๐ช๐ค ๐๐ฏ๐ฅ๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐ณ๐บ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต-๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต).
Cheers,