The JCI November 2, 2020
๐๐จ๐ฏ๐๐ฆ๐๐๐ซ ๐, ๐๐๐๐
* ๐๐ก๐ ๐๐๐ ๐ญ๐ซ๐๐๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ซ๐๐ง๐ ๐: ๐,๐๐๐๐ฉ๐ญ -๐,๐๐๐๐ฉ๐ญย ย (๐๐ฎ๐๐ฌ๐๐๐ฒ ๐๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐: ๐,๐๐๐๐ฉ๐ญ )
* ๐๐๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐๐ญ๐ซ๐๐๐ญ ๐ฐ๐๐ฌ ๐๐จ๐ฐ๐ง ๐๐ฒ ๐.๐% ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฅ๐๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฐ๐๐๐ค, ย ๐จ๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฎ๐ง๐๐๐ซ๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐๐ง๐ข๐ญ๐๐ ๐๐ญ๐๐ญ๐๐ฌ (๐๐) ๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ข๐๐๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐๐ฅ ๐๐ฌ ๐ฐ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ซ๐๐ง๐๐ฐ๐๐ ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐ค๐๐จ๐ฐ๐ง ๐ข๐ง ๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐จ๐ฉ๐
๐๐ฅ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง
* ๐๐ก๐ ๐๐๐ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐ฑ๐ฉ๐๐๐ญ๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ญ๐ฎ๐๐ญ๐ ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐๐ ๐๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐๐๐ฅ๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐
Morning,
The Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) today (11/2) is expected to be in the range of 5,050pt โ 5,200pt, to fluctuate ย and being supported by stable USDIDR close. Although not independent of what is happening in the US and Europe, the Indonesia stock market is expected to show some resilience for the following factors.ย Firstly, the consumersโ consumption is expected to have picked up that would be reflected in Octoberโs CPI data release scheduled today.ย Secondly, the Positivity Rates of new cases of COVID-19 in the capital city Jakarta is stable at 9.9% in the last 14 days, which is meaningfully-lower compared to 11%-13% in the previous weeks.
Meanwhile, Friday last week ย (10/30) the DJIA closed lower ย by ย 158 points or 0.6% to 26,502pt, while the ย S&P500 and the Nasdaq dipped by ย 1.2% and 2.5%, respectively.
๐๐ง๐๐ก๐๐ง๐ ๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐ ๐ซ๐๐๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐๐ ๐ซ๐๐ญ๐๐ฌ ย ๐ข๐ง ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐๐๐ซ ๐ฆ๐๐ค๐๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ๐๐ค ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ง๐๐ข๐๐ฅ ๐ฆ๐๐ซ๐ค๐๐ญ ๐๐ฉ๐ฉ๐๐๐ฅ๐ข๐ง๐ (๐)
Against the previous week of foreign total net sell of IDR1tr, last week of 2 (two) trading days, the JCI recorded a weekly foreign net buy of IDR236bn.
Tuesday last week (10/27) foreign net buy was recorded at IDR108bn, bringing accumulated foreign net sell this year to IDR47.3tr (2019: net buy of IDR49.2tr, 2018: net sell IDR50.7tr). Unfavorable situations in other countries, be it by the economic data or by the social and politics indicators, is expected to lower the accumulated value of foreign net sell into the end of the year.ย Also, in the meantime, improving economic data in major countries in Asia is expected to benefit the domestic stock market, we note.
At the other end, Friday last week (10/30) the WTI price closed lower by 1.1% at USD35.8/barrel bringing a total decline of 12% since the last week, for the renewed lockdown in Europe as well as the ย US presidential election tomorrow (11/3). ย Meanwhile, Tuesday last week the USDIDR ย closedย at IDR14.690 ย vs. IDR14.697 the previous one.
We advise the following recommendations, for both trading and longer-time investment purpose. ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐จ๐ณ๐ช, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ฏ๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต ), ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ ๐๐ช๐ฏ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต-๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต), ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ด๐ถ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ณ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต ), ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ถ๐ต๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ข๐ต๐ช๐ท๐ฆ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต-๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต), ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ณ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฆ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต),๐๐ง๐ ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ข๐ด๐ช๐ค ๐๐ฏ๐ฅ๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐ณ๐บ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต-๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต).
Cheers,