The JCI December 20, 2021
๐๐๐๐๐ฆ๐๐๐ซ ๐๐, ๐๐๐๐
* ๐๐ก๐ ๐๐๐ ๐ญ๐ซ๐๐๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ซ๐๐ง๐ ๐: ๐,๐๐๐๐ฉ๐ญ- ๐,๐๐๐๐ฉ๐ญย (๐ ๐ซ๐ข๐๐๐ฒ ๐๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐: ๐,๐๐๐๐ฉ๐ญ )
* ๐๐๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐๐ญ๐ซ๐๐๐ญ ๐๐ง๐๐๐ ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐๐๐๐ ๐๐ง๐ ๐&๐๐๐๐ ๐๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐๐ ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฐ๐๐ซ ๐๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฆ๐ ๐%, ๐ฆ๐๐ข๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐จ๐ง ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ ๐๐ง๐๐ ๐จ๐ ๐๐๐๐๐-๐๐ ๐ง๐๐ฐ ๐๐๐ฌ๐๐ฌ /๐ฏ๐๐ซ๐ข๐๐ง๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ฐ๐ก๐ข๐ฅ๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐๐ง๐ข๐ญ๐๐ ๐๐ญ๐๐ญ๐๐ฌ (๐๐) ๐๐๐ง๐ญ๐ซ๐๐ฅ ๐๐๐ง๐ค ๐ก๐๐ฌ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐๐ญ๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐๐๐๐ฅ๐๐ซ๐๐ญ๐ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐๐จ๐ง๐๐ฌ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐ก๐๐ฌ๐ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ญ๐๐ซ๐ ๐๐ญ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ก๐ข๐ค๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐๐๐๐
* ๐๐ก๐ ๐๐๐ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐ฑ๐ฉ๐๐๐ญ๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ญ๐ฎ๐๐ญ๐ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐๐ ๐๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐๐๐ฅ๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐
Morning,
The Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) today (12/20) is expected to trade between 6,550pt – 6,650pt to stick around also on the back of ย bargain hunters. Meanwhile, Friday last week (12/17), Wall Street ended with the DJIA closed lower by 532pt or 1.5% to 35,365pt, and the S&P500 and the Nasdaq Composite also closed lower by 1.0% and 0.07%, respectively. However, the US bond market seemed calmer to response with the yield of the reference 10-year Treasury note closed lower by a relatively-narrow 1.3bp to 1.389% ย in the last close.
The JCI Friday last week performed on the lower side of our estimated range and closed slightly higher in the green, by 0.1%. ย Total trading value at IDR13.7tr ย was within the daily average while total ย foreign funds amounted a slight net Buy of IDR136bn( a ย Sell of IDR82.7bn in the regular transactions).
With the current macro and pandemic indicators ย spot, stakeholders in the Jakarta financial market might be comforted again by the relatively- encapsulated nature of the countryโs economy.ย In 2008 and 2009, following the collapse of the low grade ย mortgage-backed securities in the US, Indonesia managed to post GDP growth of 7.4% YoY ( Central Statistics: 6.1% YoY), and 4.7% respectively, while Malaysia of 4.8% YoY and -1.5% YoY, ย Singapore of 1.9% YoY and 0.1% YoY, and Thailand of 1.7% YoY and -0.7% YoY, respectively. Growth data are from World Economic Forum.
At the other end, last week ย ย the WTI price ย closed lower by 2.1% to USD70.9/barrel ย , mainly on demand concern along with the higher cases of Omicron variant of COVID-19 in major countries. Meanwhile, the USDIDR closed ย at IDR14,343 vs. IDR14,343 the previous one.
We advise the following recommendations, for both trading and longer-time investment purpose. ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐จ๐ณ๐ช, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ฏ๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต ), ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ ๐๐ช๐ฏ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต-๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต), ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ด๐ถ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ณ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต ), ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐,๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ณ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฆ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต),๐๐ง๐ ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ข๐ด๐ช๐ค ๐๐ฏ๐ฅ๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐ณ๐บ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต-๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต).
Cheers,