The JCI December 20, 2021

๐ƒ๐ž๐œ๐ž๐ฆ๐›๐ž๐ซ ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ, ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ

 

* ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐‰๐‚๐ˆ ๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ž: ๐Ÿ”,๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ๐ฉ๐ญ- ๐Ÿ”,๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ๐ฉ๐ญย  (๐…๐ซ๐ข๐๐š๐ฒ ๐œ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž: ๐Ÿ”,๐Ÿ”๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐ฉ๐ญ )

* ๐–๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐’๐ญ๐ซ๐ž๐ž๐ญ ๐ž๐ง๐๐ž๐ ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ƒ๐‰๐ˆ๐€ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐’&๐๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ ๐œ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž๐ ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฐ๐ž๐ซ ๐›๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฆ๐ž ๐Ÿ%, ๐ฆ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐จ๐ง ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ ๐ž๐ง๐œ๐ž ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐‚๐Ž๐•๐ˆ๐ƒ-๐Ÿ๐Ÿ— ๐ง๐ž๐ฐ ๐œ๐š๐ฌ๐ž๐ฌ /๐ฏ๐š๐ซ๐ข๐š๐ง๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ฐ๐ก๐ข๐ฅ๐ž ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐”๐ง๐ข๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐’๐ญ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ฌ (๐”๐’) ๐œ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐ฅ ๐›๐š๐ง๐ค ๐ก๐š๐ฌ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐š๐œ๐œ๐ž๐ฅ๐ž๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ž ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐›๐จ๐ง๐๐ฌ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ซ๐œ๐ก๐š๐ฌ๐ž ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ญ๐š๐ซ๐ ๐ž๐ญ ๐…๐…๐‘ ๐ก๐ข๐ค๐ž ๐ข๐ง ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ

* ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐‰๐‚๐ˆ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ž๐ฑ๐ฉ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐œ๐ญ๐ฎ๐š๐ญ๐ž ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐›๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐š๐›๐ฅ๐ž ๐”๐’๐ƒ๐ˆ๐ƒ๐‘

 

Morning,

The Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) today (12/20) is expected to trade between 6,550pt – 6,650pt to stick around also on the back of ย bargain hunters. Meanwhile, Friday last week (12/17), Wall Street ended with the DJIA closed lower by 532pt or 1.5% to 35,365pt, and the S&P500 and the Nasdaq Composite also closed lower by 1.0% and 0.07%, respectively. However, the US bond market seemed calmer to response with the yield of the reference 10-year Treasury note closed lower by a relatively-narrow 1.3bp to 1.389% ย in the last close.

 

The JCI Friday last week performed on the lower side of our estimated range and closed slightly higher in the green, by 0.1%. ย Total trading value at IDR13.7tr ย was within the daily average while total ย foreign funds amounted a slight net Buy of IDR136bn( a ย Sell of IDR82.7bn in the regular transactions).

With the current macro and pandemic indicators ย spot, stakeholders in the Jakarta financial market might be comforted again by the relatively- encapsulated nature of the countryโ€™s economy.ย  In 2008 and 2009, following the collapse of the low grade ย mortgage-backed securities in the US, Indonesia managed to post GDP growth of 7.4% YoY ( Central Statistics: 6.1% YoY), and 4.7% respectively, while Malaysia of 4.8% YoY and -1.5% YoY, ย Singapore of 1.9% YoY and 0.1% YoY, and Thailand of 1.7% YoY and -0.7% YoY, respectively. Growth data are from World Economic Forum.

 

At the other end, last week ย ย the WTI price ย closed lower by 2.1% to USD70.9/barrel ย , mainly on demand concern along with the higher cases of Omicron variant of COVID-19 in major countries. Meanwhile, the USDIDR closed ย at IDR14,343 vs. IDR14,343 the previous one.

 

We advise the following recommendations, for both trading and longer-time investment purpose. ๐€๐€๐‹๐ˆ, ๐‹๐’๐ˆ๐ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜ˆ๐˜จ๐˜ณ๐˜ช, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜œ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต ), ๐”๐๐“๐‘, ๐ˆ๐“๐Œ๐†, ๐€๐ƒ๐‘๐Ž, ๐๐“๐๐€ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜Š๐˜ฐ๐˜ข๐˜ญ ๐˜”๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜”๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต-๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต), ๐’๐ˆ๐ƒ๐Ž, ๐”๐‹๐“๐‰, ๐”๐๐•๐‘, ๐ˆ๐‚๐๐ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜Š๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ด๐˜ถ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜–๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต ), ๐š๐ง๐ ๐€๐‚๐„๐’, ๐’๐‚๐Œ๐€, ๐Œ๐€๐๐ˆ,๐Œ๐๐‚๐ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜›๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜–๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต),๐š๐ง๐ ๐“๐Š๐ˆ๐Œ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜‰๐˜ข๐˜ด๐˜ช๐˜ค ๐˜๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ๐˜ถ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜บ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜”๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต-๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต).

 

 

Cheers,

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