๐๐๐ซ๐๐ก ๐๐, ๐๐๐๐
* ๐๐ก๐ ๐๐๐ ๐ญ๐ซ๐๐๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ซ๐๐ง๐ ๐: ๐,๐๐๐๐ฉ๐ญ – ๐,๐๐๐๐ฉ๐ญ (๐๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐๐ซ๐๐๐ฒ๐ก ๐๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐: ๐,๐๐๐๐ฉ๐ญ)
* ๐๐๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐๐ญ๐ซ๐๐๐ญ ๐๐ง๐๐๐ ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฐ๐๐ซ ๐๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฆ๐ ๐.๐%, ๐ฆ๐๐ข๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐จ๐ง ๐ฎ๐ง๐๐๐ซ๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐ฒ ๐จ๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ณ๐ ๐จ๐ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ข๐๐ฅ๐ ๐๐จ๐ซ๐๐๐ ๐ฅ๐ข๐ช๐ฎ๐ข๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ญ๐ซ๐๐ง๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐จ๐ ๐ ๐ก๐๐๐ ๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ง๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐๐ง๐ข๐ญ๐๐ ๐๐ญ๐๐ญ๐๐ฌ (๐๐)
* ๐๐ก๐ ๐๐๐ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐ฑ๐ฉ๐๐๐ญ๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ญ๐ฎ๐๐ญ๐ ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐ ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐๐ ๐๐ฒ ๐๐๐ซ๐ ๐๐ข๐ง ๐ก๐ฎ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ซ๐ฌ
Morning,
The Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) today (3/31) is expected to be in the range of 6,025pt โ 6,150pt, ย to fluctuate and be supported by bargain hunters. ย Meanwhile, yesterday (3/30), the DJIA closed lower by 104 points or 0.3% to 33,067pt, while the S&P500 and the Nasdaq ended lower by 0.3% and 0.1%, respectively.
Against the YTD custom of net foreign buy, Indonesia exchange incurred a net sell on yesterday trading, while the main stock index incurred a loss by 1.6% in a day. The loss, higher than usual profit-taking / consolidation magnitude of 0%-0.9%, were widely-linked to the need of raising cash of major foreign investors to cover a margin call need in the US stock market, eventually of the Archegos Capital Management. ย Such contagion effect might be correct, but the fact of still trending-up US bonds yield ย is also a major reason, we reckon.
The US 10-year Treasury note yield increased to its 1-year high yesterday at 1.78%, mainly ahead of the speech from the US President Joe Biden on the next USD3tr recovery package for all sectors to boost the US economy. In addition, several indicators of the country economy showed improving signs, such as the home price and consumer indices.ย Prospect of sharp recovery has shifted risk appetite to riskier ones.
The above narration implies that temporarily less-attractive yield differential might also shift foreing funds preference for Indonesia stock market.
At the other end, last week the WTI price ended lower ย by 1.6% to USD60.6/barrel as compared ย to the previous close, ย ahead of OPEC+ members meeting tomorrow (4/1) with consensus estimate that major producer Saudi Arabia is expected to extend current restrained-level of output. ย ย Meanwhile, the USDIDR ย closedย at IDR14,481vs. IDR14,434the previous one.
We advise the following recommendations, for both trading and longer-time investment purpose. ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐จ๐ณ๐ช, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ฏ๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต ), ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ ๐๐ช๐ฏ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต-๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต), ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ด๐ถ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ณ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต ), ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐,๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ณ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฆ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต),๐๐ง๐ ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ข๐ด๐ช๐ค ๐๐ฏ๐ฅ๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐ณ๐บ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต-๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต).
Cheers,