The JCI November 11, 2020

๐๐จ๐ฏ๐ž๐ฆ๐›๐ž๐ซ ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ, ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ

 

* ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐‰๐‚๐ˆ ๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ž: ๐Ÿ“,๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“๐ฉ๐ญ-๐Ÿ“,๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ๐ฉ๐ญ (๐˜๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ž๐ซ๐๐š๐ฒ ๐œ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž: ๐Ÿ“,๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ‘๐ฉ๐ญ)

* ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐ƒ๐‰๐ˆ๐€ ๐œ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž๐ ๐ก๐ข๐ ๐ก๐ž๐ซ ๐›๐ฒ ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ—%, ๐ฐ๐ก๐ข๐ฅ๐ž ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐’&๐๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐๐š๐ฌ๐๐š๐ช ๐ฐ๐ž๐ซ๐ž ๐๐จ๐ฐ๐ง ๐›๐ฒ ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ% ๐š๐ง๐ ๐Ÿ.๐Ÿ’% ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ฉ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž๐ฅ๐ฒ , ๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ๐œ๐ค ๐ซ๐จ๐ญ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง

* ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐‰๐‚๐ˆ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ž๐ฑ๐ฉ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐จ๐ฅ๐ข๐๐š๐ญ๐ž ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐›๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐จ๐ง๐ ๐ž๐ซ ๐”๐’๐ƒ๐ˆ๐ƒ๐‘ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐จ๐ข๐ฅ ๐œ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž

 

Morning,

 

The Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) today (11/11) is expected to be in the range of 5,415pt โ€“ 5,550pt, to extend gain although limited, ย also by support of sound and stable domestic financial system.

Meanwhile, yesterday ย (11/10) the DJIA closed higher ย by ย 263 points or 0.9% to 29,421pt, while the ย S&P500 and the Nasdaq both ended lower by 0.1%, and 1.4%, respectively. ย The broader indices gained as investors shifted from technology counters into those of economic-recovery ones.

 

๐„๐ง๐œ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ๐š๐ ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ญ๐ซ๐ž๐ง๐ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ข๐ง๐Ÿ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐œ ย ๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ๐œ๐ค ๐ฆ๐š๐ซ๐ค๐ž๐ญ (๐Ÿ)

Yesterday saw net a ย foreign inflow of IDR2.3tr, bringing total accumulated journal to IDR44.0tr compared to that of in October 27 of IDR47.4tr (please refer to market note dated 10/27), a positive development. We relate the development to several factors as (1) the countryโ€™s attractive yield differential, (2) ย sound and stable financial system, (3) and the 3Q20 GDP figure data that showed a meaningful QoQ improvement . However, most important, latest 7-days average of new cases of COVID-19 in capital city Jakart has improved to 9.1% as compared to 9.9% in the previous weeks and to 11%-13% in the preceeding weeks.

All the while, Indonesia is also expected to benefit from the latest progress on COVID-19 vaccine , by Pfizer and BioNTech. This product seems to outstand the other vaccineโ€™s producers such as Astra Zeneca and Oxford University, Novavac and Valneva.

As government of most countries seems to have been implementing the best possible monetary, fiscal, and social policies to face the COVID-19 virus case, the confirmation of the appropriate vaccine will be the main determinant for most economies to be back in normal and in improving level, in our note.

 

At the other end, yesterday ย (11/10) the WTI price closed higher ย by ย 2.7% at USD41.4/barrel on promissing results of last-stage trials of COVID-19 vaccines by Pfizer and BioNTech . ย Meanwhile, the USDIDR ย closedย  at IDR14.015 ย vs. IDR14.172 ย the previous one.

 

We advise the following recommendations, for both trading and longer-time investment purpose. ๐€๐€๐‹๐ˆ, ๐‹๐’๐ˆ๐ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜ˆ๐˜จ๐˜ณ๐˜ช, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜œ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต ), ๐”๐๐“๐‘, ๐ˆ๐“๐Œ๐†, ๐€๐ƒ๐‘๐Ž, ๐๐“๐๐€ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜Š๐˜ฐ๐˜ข๐˜ญ ๐˜”๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜”๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต-๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต), ๐†๐†๐‘๐Œ, ๐”๐๐•๐‘, ๐ˆ๐‚๐๐ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜Š๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ด๐˜ถ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜–๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต ), ๐€๐’๐ˆ๐ˆ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜ˆ๐˜ถ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ท๐˜ฆ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜”๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต-๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต), ๐š๐ง๐ ๐€๐‚๐„๐’, ๐’๐‚๐Œ๐€, ๐Œ๐€๐๐ˆ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜›๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜–๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต),๐š๐ง๐ ๐“๐Š๐ˆ๐Œ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜‰๐˜ข๐˜ด๐˜ช๐˜ค ๐˜๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ๐˜ถ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜บ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜”๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต-๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต).

 

Cheers,

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