๐๐๐ฉ๐ญ๐๐ฆ๐๐๐ซ ๐๐, ๐๐๐๐
* ๐๐ก๐ ๐๐๐ ๐ญ๐ซ๐๐๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ซ๐๐ง๐ ๐: ๐,๐๐๐๐ฉ๐ญ – ๐,๐๐๐๐ฉ๐ญย (๐๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐๐ซ๐๐๐ฒ ๐๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐: ๐,๐๐๐๐ฉ๐ญ)
* ๐๐๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐๐ญ๐ซ๐๐๐ญ ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐ง๐ ๐๐ ๐๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฆ๐ ๐%, ๐ฆ๐๐ข๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐จ๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฐ๐ก๐ข๐ฉ๐ฌ๐๐ฐ ๐จ๐ ๐ญ๐๐๐ก ๐ฌ๐ก๐๐ซ๐๐ฌ
* ๐๐ก๐ ๐๐๐ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐ฑ๐ฉ๐๐๐ญ๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ญ๐ฎ๐๐ญ๐ ๐จ๐ง ๐๐ง ๐๐ญ๐ญ๐๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ญ ๐จ๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฏ๐๐ซ๐ฌ๐๐ฅ ๐๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ ๐จ๐ ๐๐๐ซ๐ ๐๐ข๐ง ๐ก๐ฎ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ซ๐ฌ
Morning,
The Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) today (11/9) is expected to be within the range of 4,775pt โ 4,950pt, ย to fluctuate with an attempt to reverse, despite lower oil close. Meanwhile, yesterday (10/9) the DJIA ended lower by 406 points or 1.5% to 27,535pt, while S&P500 and the Nasdaq both closed lower by 1.8% and 1.9%.
๐๐ก๐ ๐๐๐ ๐ฆ๐๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ข๐ฏ๐ ๐ฌ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ฒ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐๐ซ๐๐๐ฒ (๐๐/๐)
The Jakarta stock market ย yesterday (10/9) underwent selling pressures to have touched the point of 5% limit for the exchange to stop trading by 30 minutes, and later the JCI closed at 4,892pt.
The sell-offs were widely – linked to the effect of the the capital city Jakarta decision on Wednesday (9/9) to re-tighten its large-scale social restriction (PSBB). ย Directly connecting between the two events may be a misinterpretation, in our view, based on the following points.
Second stage PSBB is the most logical response to the recent escalating spread of COVID-19 new cases, especially for Indonesia whereby health facilities need to catch-up. Other cities such as Melbourne, and Seoul, to name several, had started its second round PSBB much earlier.ย At present, London and other cities in the UK are preparing the same approach.
Remind that 9 (nine) essential sectors ranging from food factories to financial sectors to food retail sectors to health-related goods and services are still able to operate and provide opportunity for optimal utilization rate of capacity.
Total net ย foreign selling since the start of this year until yesterday was at the amount of IDR33.6tr (1Q20:IDR10.3tr, 2Q20:IDR5.3tr, yesterday at IDR663bn), against a net buy of IDR49.2tr last year. At the other end, the JCI registered gain of 32% on September 9, ย from year low on March 24 since the official news on the COVID-19 outbreak. ย This implied foreign investors are susceptible to take momentums for profit takings.
Retightening of PSBB, implemented with discipline, is expected to give medium and longer-term benefit to the economy, in our note. Sell-offs in the stock market may be viewed as opportunity.
At the other end, yesterday the WTI price closed lower by 2% at USD37.3/barrel as compared to the previous one. Meanwhile the ย USDIDR ย closedย at IDR14.871 ย vs. IDR14.853 the previous one.
We advise the following recommendations, for both trading and longer-time investment purpose. ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐จ๐ณ๐ช, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ฏ๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต ), ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ ๐๐ช๐ฏ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต-๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต), ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ด๐ถ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ณ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต ), ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ถ๐ต๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ข๐ต๐ช๐ท๐ฆ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต-๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต), ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ณ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฆ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต),๐๐ง๐ ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ข๐ด๐ช๐ค ๐๐ฏ๐ฅ๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐ณ๐บ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต-๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต).
Cheers,