The JCI September 23, 2020
๐๐๐ฉ๐ญ๐๐ฆ๐๐๐ซ ๐๐, ๐๐๐๐
* ๐๐ก๐ ๐๐๐ ๐ญ๐ซ๐๐๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ซ๐๐ง๐ ๐: ๐,๐๐๐๐ฉ๐ญ- ๐,๐๐๐๐ฉ๐ญ (๐๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐๐ซ๐๐๐ฒ ๐๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐: ๐,๐๐๐๐ฉ๐ญ)
* ๐๐๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐๐ญ๐ซ๐๐๐ญ ๐๐ง๐๐๐ ๐ก๐ข๐ ๐ก๐๐ซ ๐๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฆ๐ ๐% ๐จ๐ง ๐ญ๐๐๐ก๐ง๐ข๐๐๐ฅ ๐ซ๐๐ฏ๐๐ซ๐ฌ๐
* ๐๐ก๐ ๐๐๐ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐ฑ๐ฉ๐๐๐ญ๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ญ๐๐ง๐ ๐ก๐ข๐ ๐ก๐๐ซ ๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ญ๐๐๐ฅ๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐ง๐ ๐จ๐ข๐ฅ ๐๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐
Morning,
The Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) today (23/9) is expected to be within the range of 4,900pt โ 4,975pt, to fluctuate in a narrow band and tend to trade higher on stable banking system. ย Meanwhile, yesterday (22/9) the DJIA closed higher ย by ย 141 points or 0.5% to 27,288pt, while S&P500 and the Nasdaq both ended higher by 1.1% and 1.7%, respectively.
๐๐ก๐ ๐๐๐ ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ซ๐ฌ ๐๐ก๐จ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐ฒ-๐ฌ๐ญ๐๐ญ๐ ๐จ๐ ๐ญ๐ซ๐๐๐ข๐ง๐
Yesterday in the domestic stock market ย recorded a foreign net sell in the amount of IDR632.5bn, or about twice as much the previous day, bringing total net sell during the year to IDR40.6tr. Outflow condition also seen in the Indonesia bond market yesterday whereby ย ย yields of longer-term ย maturity of 10 to 15 years ย government bonds decreased by 2 -5 bps.
To remind, several factors (please refer to report dated 22/9) triggering outflow ย to include improving economic data in other major countries such the United States and China that will put -domestic stock market in a less attractive condition, given the ultra-expansive monetary policy adopted by those countries.
Also, with the latest COVID19 new cases tick-up and country United Kingdom now to implement stricter measures on business operation and social contacts valid ย for at least 6(six) months ahead , global uncertainties increase.
The aforementioned narration implies short and medium term higher volatility whereby stock has never been a riskier class of asset, a favorable condition for risk-takers.
At the other end, yesterday ย the WTI price closed higher by 0.7% ย at USD39.6/barrel as compared to the previous one. ย Meanwhile the ย USDIDR ย closedย at IDR14.782 ย vs. IDR14.723 the previous one.
We advise the following recommendations, for both trading and longer-time investment purpose. ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐จ๐ณ๐ช, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ฏ๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต ), ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ ๐๐ช๐ฏ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต-๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต), ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ด๐ถ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ณ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต ), ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ถ๐ต๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ข๐ต๐ช๐ท๐ฆ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต-๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต), ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ณ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฆ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต),๐๐ง๐ ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ข๐ด๐ช๐ค ๐๐ฏ๐ฅ๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐ณ๐บ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต-๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต).
Cheers,