The JCI April 30, 2021
๐๐ฉ๐ซ๐ข๐ฅ ๐๐, ๐๐๐๐
* ๐๐ก๐ ๐๐๐ ๐ญ๐ซ๐๐๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ซ๐๐ง๐ ๐:ย ๐,๐๐๐๐ฉ๐ญ – ๐,๐๐๐๐ฉ๐ญ (๐๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐๐ซ๐๐๐ฒ ๐๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐: ๐,๐๐๐๐ฉ๐ญ)
* ๐๐๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐๐ญ๐ซ๐๐๐ญ ๐๐ง๐๐๐ ๐ก๐ข๐ ๐ก๐๐ซ ๐๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฆ๐ ๐.๐% ๐ฆ๐๐ข๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐จ๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฅ๐๐๐ฌ๐ ๐จ๐ ๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐ ๐ ๐ซ๐จ๐ฐ๐ญ๐ก ๐๐๐ญ๐ ๐๐จ๐ซ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐๐ง๐ข๐ญ๐๐ ๐๐ญ๐๐ญ๐๐ฌ (๐๐), ๐๐ญ ๐.๐% ๐๐จ๐, ๐จ๐ซ ๐ข๐ง-๐ฅ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก ๐๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐๐ง๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฌ’ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐
* ๐๐ก๐ ๐๐๐ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐ฑ๐ฉ๐๐๐ญ๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ญ๐ฎ๐๐ญ๐ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐๐ ๐๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐๐๐ฅ๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐ง๐ ๐จ๐ข๐ฅ-๐๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐
Morning,
The Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) today (4/30) is expected to be in the range of 5,950pt โ 6,100pt, to fluctuate and supported by bargain hunters. ย Ahead of the release of 1Q21 Indonesia GDP (5/5), the JCI is expected to trade sideways , or within the band of absolute minus 1% to plus 1% of the previous close, by historical remark.
Meanwhile, yesterday (4/29), the DJIA closed higher by ย 240 points or 0.7% to 34,060pt, while the S&P500 and the Nasdaq both ended higher by 0.7% and 0.2% respectively.
The 1Q21 US GDP data release is expected to give positive sentiment that a strong economic recovery for the country this year of 6.4%YoY (2020: -3.5% YoY, 2019: 2.2% YoY,2018: 3.0% YoY) is in-tact.
This provides challenge for emerging countries including Indonesia to formulate policies so as to maintain the historical similar level of foreign inflow funds, we note.
At the other end, currently, consensus estimate for 1Q21 GDP figure for Indonesia is at -0.5% YoY to -1% YoY , and full year of 4.3% YoY (source: IMF). Meanwhile, full year estimate of the similar source calls for 5.2% YoY (Singapore), 6.5%YoY (Malaysia), and 6.9% YoY (Philippines), among the ASEAN-5 country estimate for this year.
Stakeholders in the Jakarta market may rely on bottom-up stock picking approach to match the turn-around story, the theme of this year.
At the other end, yesterday the WTI price ended higher by ย 1.3% to USD64.7/barrel , mainly on the positive impact of the US 1Q21 GDP release on oil demand prospect. ย ย Meanwhile, the USDIDR ย closedย at IDR14,468 vs. IDR14,510 the previous one.
We advise the following recommendations, for both trading and longer-time investment purpose. ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐จ๐ณ๐ช, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ฏ๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต ), ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ ๐๐ช๐ฏ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต-๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต), ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ด๐ถ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ณ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต ), ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐,๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ณ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฆ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต),๐๐ง๐ ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ข๐ด๐ช๐ค ๐๐ฏ๐ฅ๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐ณ๐บ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต-๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต).
Cheers,