The JCI August 16, 2021

๐€๐ฎ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ”, ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ

 

* ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐‰๐‚๐ˆ ๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ž: 6,100pt-6,200pt (๐…๐ซ๐ข๐๐š๐ฒ ๐œ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž: ๐Ÿ”,๐Ÿ๐Ÿ’๐ŸŽ๐ฉ๐ญ)

* ๐–๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐’๐ญ๐ซ๐ž๐ž๐ญ ๐ž๐ง๐๐ž๐ ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ƒ๐‰๐ˆ๐€ ๐›๐จ๐จ๐ค๐ž๐ ๐๐š๐ข๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐ ๐š๐ข๐ง ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ”๐ฉ๐ญ๐ฌ, ๐š ๐ซ๐ž๐œ๐จ๐ซ๐-๐ก๐ข๐ ๐ก, ๐ฆ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐จ๐ง ๐›๐ž๐ญ๐ญ๐ž๐ซ-๐ญ๐ก๐š๐ง-๐ž๐ฑ๐ฉ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐Ÿ๐๐Ÿ๐Ÿ ๐ž๐š๐ซ๐ง๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐ž๐ฅ๐ž๐š๐ฌ๐ž

* ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐‰๐‚๐ˆ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ž๐ฑ๐ฉ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐œ๐ญ๐ฎ๐š๐ญ๐ž ๐š๐ง๐ ๐›๐ž ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐›๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐š๐›๐ฅ๐ž ๐”๐’๐ƒ๐ˆ๐ƒ๐‘

Morning,

The Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) today (8/16) is expected to trade between 6,100pt – 6,200pt and likely to gain edge while being supported by bargain hunters. Meanwhile, Friday (8/13) Wall Street ended with the DJIA closed higher by 15 points or 0.04% to 35,515pt, while the S&P500 and the Nasdaq both closed higher by 0.2% and 0.04%, ย respectively.

87% of S&P 500 companies, as quoted from the media, ย have reported positive earnings per share surprises for the second calendar quarter. The percentage,as of now, marks the highest rate of S&P 500 companies reporting positive EPS surprises since the tracking begain in 2008.

Meanwhile the JCI today ย is expected to be supported by the release of Indonesia trade data for the month of July (estimated at USD2 -USD2.3bn surplus),scheduled at 11.00 am by the central statistics office (Badan Pusat Statistik). During January โ€“ June 2021, trade surplus amounted to USD11.9bn vs. USD5.4bn during January โ€“ June 2020.

During non-pandemic time, in 2011 for example, higher commodity prices through net trade contribution, ย had boosted overal economic growth to as high as 6.5% YoY (2010: 6.1% YoY, 2021E: 3.8% YoY). Still, during pandemic time, higher surplus gives meaningful supports, ย also through higher customes and taxes.

At the other end, last week the WTI price closed lower by 0.2% to USD68.9/barrel , mainly on demand worries for surging delat variant of COVID-19 spread. ย ย ย ย Meanwhile, the USDIDR ย closed ย at IDR14,388 ย vs. IDR14,389 the previous one.

 

We advise the following recommendations, for both trading and longer-time investment purpose. ๐€๐€๐‹๐ˆ, ๐‹๐’๐ˆ๐ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜ˆ๐˜จ๐˜ณ๐˜ช, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜œ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต ), ๐”๐๐“๐‘, ๐ˆ๐“๐Œ๐†, ๐€๐ƒ๐‘๐Ž, ๐๐“๐๐€ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜Š๐˜ฐ๐˜ข๐˜ญ ๐˜”๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜”๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต-๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต), ๐’๐ˆ๐ƒ๐Ž, ๐”๐‹๐“๐‰, ๐”๐๐•๐‘, ๐ˆ๐‚๐๐ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜Š๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ด๐˜ถ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜–๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต ), ๐š๐ง๐ ๐€๐‚๐„๐’, ๐’๐‚๐Œ๐€, ๐Œ๐€๐๐ˆ,๐Œ๐๐‚๐ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜›๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜–๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต),๐š๐ง๐ ๐“๐Š๐ˆ๐Œ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜‰๐˜ข๐˜ด๐˜ช๐˜ค ๐˜๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ๐˜ถ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜บ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜”๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต-๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต).

 

Cheers,

 

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