The JCI April 23, 2021
๐๐ฉ๐ซ๐ข๐ฅ ๐๐, ๐๐๐๐
* ๐๐ก๐ ๐๐๐ ๐ญ๐ซ๐๐๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ซ๐๐ง๐ ๐: ๐,๐๐๐๐ฉ๐ญ – ๐,๐๐๐๐ฉ๐ญ (๐๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐๐ซ๐๐๐ฒ ๐๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐: ๐,๐๐๐๐ฉ๐ญ )
* ๐๐๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐๐ญ๐ซ๐๐๐ญ ๐๐ง๐๐๐ ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฐ๐๐ซ ๐๐ฒ ๐๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐%, ๐ฆ๐จ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐จ๐ง ๐ก๐ข๐ ๐ก๐๐ซ ๐๐๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐๐ฅ ๐ ๐๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐๐ฑ ๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ก๐๐ซ๐๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐๐ง๐ข๐ญ๐๐ ๐๐ญ๐๐ญ๐๐ฌ (๐๐) , ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐% ๐จ๐ซ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐ข๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐๐ก ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐ซ๐๐ญ๐, ๐๐ฌ ๐ช๐ฎ๐จ๐ญ๐๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฆ๐๐๐ข๐
* ๐๐ก๐ ๐๐๐ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐ฑ๐ฉ๐๐๐ญ๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ญ๐ฎ๐๐ญ๐ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐๐ ๐๐ฒ ๐๐๐ซ๐ ๐๐ข๐ง ๐ก๐ฎ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ซ๐ฌ
Morning,
The Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) today (4/23) is expected to be in the range of 5,950pt โ 6,100pt, ย to fluctuate and also be supported by stable USDIDR and oil-close. ย Meanwhile, yesterday (4/22), the DJIA closed lower by ย 321 points or 0.9% to 33,816pt, while the S&P500 and the Nasdaq both ended lower by 0.9%.
Rating agency ย Standard & Poorโs (S&P) in its latest appraisal on Indonesia soverignty published yesterday (4/22) maintains its investment grade level at BBB for the country, but lowers its Outlook to Negative from previously Stable.ย The change in Outlook, as quoted from the media, mostly rest on the arguments of unfavorable development of ย total foreign loan to current account ratio (1), depreciation of USDIDR (2), ย fiscal deficit to total GDP ratios (3).
The above 3 (three) ratios is believed to bring challenge for the administrator to bring domestic growth to normal level. Historically prudence monetary and fiscal policies (mainly after the Asia financial crisis in 1998), digitalization technology to spur businesses and investments especially in small and informal sectors, as well as pleasant surprises on world commodity price may help to mitigate the challenges , we note.
At the other end, yesterday ย the WTI price ended slightly higher ย by ย 0.1% to USD61.4/barrel , mainly supported by decline of output from Libya. Meanwhile, the USDIDR ย closedย at IDR14,530 vs. IDR14,549 the previous one.
We advise the following recommendations, for both trading and longer-time investment purpose. ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐จ๐ณ๐ช, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ฏ๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต ), ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ ๐๐ช๐ฏ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต-๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต), ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ด๐ถ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ณ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต ), ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐,๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ณ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฆ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต),๐๐ง๐ ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ข๐ด๐ช๐ค ๐๐ฏ๐ฅ๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐ณ๐บ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต-๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต).
Cheers,