The JCI August 6, 2021

๐€๐ฎ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐Ÿ”, ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ

 

* ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐‰๐‚๐ˆ ๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ž: ๐Ÿ”,๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ“๐ฉ๐ญ – ๐Ÿ”,๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“๐ฉ๐ญ (๐˜๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ž๐ซ๐๐š๐ฒ ๐œ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž: ๐Ÿ”,๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ“๐ฉ๐ญ)

* ๐–๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐’๐ญ๐ซ๐ž๐ž๐ญ ๐ž๐ง๐๐ž๐ ๐ก๐ข๐ ๐ก๐ž๐ซ ๐›๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฆ๐ž ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ–%, ๐ฆ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐›๐ฒ ๐๐š๐ญ๐š ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐”๐ง๐ข๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐’๐ญ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ฌ (๐”๐’) ๐ฐ๐ž๐ž๐ค๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐š๐ฅ ๐œ๐ฅ๐š๐ข๐ฆ๐ฌ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ฎ๐ง๐ž๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฒ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐›๐ž๐ง๐ž๐Ÿ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ, ๐š๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฐ๐ข๐๐ž๐ฅ๐ฒ-๐ž๐ฑ๐ฉ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐ฅ๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ฅ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ“๐ค ๐ฎ๐ง๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ

* ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐‰๐‚๐ˆ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ž๐ฑ๐ฉ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ ๐š๐ข๐ง ๐ž๐๐ ๐ž ๐›๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐š๐›๐ฅ๐ž ๐”๐’๐ƒ๐ˆ๐ƒ๐‘ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐จ๐ข๐ฅ-๐œ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž

 

Morning,

The Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) today (8/6) is expected to trade between 6,175pt – 6,315pt likely to gain edge and be supported by bargain hunters. Meanwhile, yesterday (8/5) Wall Street ended with the DJIA closed higher by 272 points or 0.8% to 35,064pt, while the S&P500 and the Nasdaq ย closed higher by 0.6% and 0.8%, ย respectively.

 

Indonesia 2Q21 GDP figure came in at 7.07% YoY (1Q21:-0.71% YoY, 2020: -2.07% YoY), which is at the high-end of consensusโ€™ estimate of 5% YoY โ€“ 7.7% YoY.ย  Overall 2Q21 figures, by sectoral and by expenditures, indicate a general successful 2Q take-off for the country to recover this year. During the 2Q21, private consumptions grew by 5.9% YoY vs.-2.2% YoY in the 1Q21, and accounted the most for source of 2Q21 growth at 3.17ppt.ย  The second most contributing is Investment, ย grew by 7.5% YoY in the 2Q21 vs. -0.23% YoY in the 1Q21, which accounted to 2.3ppt to total 2Q21ย  growth in the economy.

 

Meanwhile, Transportation and Logistics sector enjoyed the base-effect in the 2Q21, to grow by 25.1% YoY as compared to -13.12% YoY in the 1Q21. So is the Accomodation and Food & Beverages sector, increases at 21.6% YoY in the 2Q21 vs. -7.3% YoY in the 1Q21. At present, the full year consensus estimate of the countryโ€™s GDP growth is at 3.8% factoring in urgent lockdown that started on July 3. The JCI may have absorbed the slower growth rate of the economy and hence created ย many bargain counters that are worth of stakeholdersโ€™ consideration.

 

At the other end, yesterday the WTI price closed higher by 1.4% to USD69.1/barrel , mainly on supply worries as geopolitic risks, this time around mostly between Israel and Iran, heightened. ย Meanwhile, the USDIDR ย closed ย at IDR14,342 ย vs. IDR14,324 ย the previous one.

 

We advise the following recommendations, for both trading and longer-time investment purpose. ๐€๐€๐‹๐ˆ, ๐‹๐’๐ˆ๐ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜ˆ๐˜จ๐˜ณ๐˜ช, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜œ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต ), ๐”๐๐“๐‘, ๐ˆ๐“๐Œ๐†, ๐€๐ƒ๐‘๐Ž, ๐๐“๐๐€ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜Š๐˜ฐ๐˜ข๐˜ญ ๐˜”๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜”๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต-๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต), ๐’๐ˆ๐ƒ๐Ž, ๐”๐‹๐“๐‰, ๐”๐๐•๐‘, ๐ˆ๐‚๐๐ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜Š๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ด๐˜ถ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜–๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต ), ๐š๐ง๐ ๐€๐‚๐„๐’, ๐’๐‚๐Œ๐€, ๐Œ๐€๐๐ˆ,๐Œ๐๐‚๐ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜›๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜–๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต),๐š๐ง๐ ๐“๐Š๐ˆ๐Œ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜‰๐˜ข๐˜ด๐˜ช๐˜ค ๐˜๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ๐˜ถ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜บ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜”๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต-๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต).

 

Cheers,

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