The JCI January 13, 2021

๐‰๐š๐ง๐ฎ๐š๐ซ๐ฒ ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘, ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ

 

* ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐‰๐‚๐ˆ ๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ž: ๐Ÿ”,๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“๐ฉ๐ญ – ๐Ÿ”,๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ“๐ฉ๐ญ (๐˜๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ž๐ซ๐๐š๐ฒ ๐œ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž: ๐Ÿ”,๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ”๐ฉ๐ญ)

* ๐–๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐’๐ญ๐ซ๐ž๐ž๐ญ ๐ž๐ง๐๐ž๐ ๐ก๐ข๐ ๐ก๐ž๐ซ ๐›๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฆ๐ž ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ%, ๐š๐ฌ ๐จ๐ฉ๐ญ๐ข๐ฆ๐ข๐ฌ๐ฆ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ก๐ž๐ย  ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฒ๐ข๐ž๐ฅ๐ ๐จ๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐›๐ž๐ง๐œ๐ก๐ฆ๐š๐ซ๐ค ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ-๐ฒ๐ž๐š๐ซ ๐”๐’ ๐“๐ซ๐ž๐š๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฒ ๐›๐ซ๐ข๐ž๐Ÿ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐๐ž๐ ๐š๐ญ ๐Ÿ.๐Ÿ๐Ÿ–%, ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ก๐ข๐ ๐ก๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฅ๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ฅ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ง๐œ๐ž ๐Œ๐š๐ซ๐œ๐ก

* ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐‰๐‚๐ˆ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ž๐ฑ๐ฉ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ซ๐ž๐ญ๐ซ๐ž๐š๐ญ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐›๐ž ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐›๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐š๐›๐ฅ๐ž ๐”๐’๐ƒ๐ˆ๐ƒ๐‘ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐จ๐ข๐ฅ ๐œ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž

 

Morning,

 

The Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) today (1/13) is expected to be in the range of 6,325pt โ€“ 6,475pt, to fluctuate and to be supported by bargain hunters. Meanwhile, yesterday (1/12), the DJIA closed higher by 60 points or 0.3% to 31,069pt, while the S&P500 and the Nasdaq ended higher ย by 0.04% and 0.3%, respectively. ย Optimism for the year 2021 is the consensus view of most stakeholders at the moment, ย with the United States (US) economy should experience strong tailwinds from additional fiscal and monetary stimulus coupled with an end to the pandemicโ€™s impact on the economy. In addition, pent-up demand in industries impacted by COVID-19 is expected to boost demand, as well as the the need to rebuild inventory.

 

๐‰๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฉ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ง๐ž๐ฐ ๐ž๐ช๐ฎ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ๐ฌ ๐ฅ๐š๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฒ๐ž๐š๐ซ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ˆ๐ƒ๐—

 

A blessing in disguise of COVID-19 outbreak last year have included the jump of total equity investors in the Indonesian Stock Exchange (IDX).ย  New equity investors jumped by some 93% YoY , of 488k SIDs( Single Investor Identification), ย to make up total existing ones into 1,593k equity investors, which representing some 44% of total SID in the IDX (data December 10. 2020).

The upswing following the year low on March 24 last year has created euphoria in the cirmcumstance of relatively โ€œyoungโ€ stock investments communities, in our observe.

As such an uproar has been inevitably taken place when most-celebrated public figure by name of Raffi Ahmad ย stated the joyful experience from equity investments, with Disclaimer, in his social media platform. The scene has brought attention to the ย IDX , and it responded accordingly. Indeed, stock investments is not among business-as-usual activities to average Indonesian of total some 270mn people, and adequate attention from the authority is an appropriate move, we note.

On a surface reading, M Cash Integrasi (MCAS), ย currently trading at its annualized FY20 PER of 149.7x at yesterday close of IDR4,110, seems to have a challenge to maintain such valuation. However, growth from existing platforms , unorganic ones, and from breakthrough ย innovations that can be secured for this year, should provide support for such multiples. We expect to upload brief about M Cash Integrasi (MCAS) tomorrow (14/1).

 

At the other end, yesterday ย the WTI price closed almost unchanged at USD53.2/barrel as compared ย to USD52.2/barrel the previous closeย . Meanwhile, the USDIDR ย closedย  at IDR14,231 vs. IDR14,155 the previous one.

We advise the following recommendations, for both trading and longer-time investment purpose. ๐€๐€๐‹๐ˆ, ๐‹๐’๐ˆ๐ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜ˆ๐˜จ๐˜ณ๐˜ช, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜œ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต ), ๐”๐๐“๐‘, ๐ˆ๐“๐Œ๐†, ๐€๐ƒ๐‘๐Ž, ๐๐“๐๐€ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜Š๐˜ฐ๐˜ข๐˜ญ ๐˜”๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜”๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต-๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต), ๐’๐ˆ๐ƒ๐Ž, ๐”๐‹๐“๐‰, ๐”๐๐•๐‘, ๐ˆ๐‚๐๐ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜Š๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ด๐˜ถ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜–๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต ), ๐š๐ง๐ ๐€๐‚๐„๐’, ๐’๐‚๐Œ๐€, ๐Œ๐€๐๐ˆ,๐Œ๐๐‚๐ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜›๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜–๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต),๐š๐ง๐ ๐“๐Š๐ˆ๐Œ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜‰๐˜ข๐˜ด๐˜ช๐˜ค ๐˜๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ๐˜ถ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜บ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜”๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต-๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต).

 

 

Cheers,

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