The JCI September 2, 2021
๐๐๐ฉ๐ญ๐๐ฆ๐๐๐ซ ๐, ๐๐๐๐
* ๐๐ก๐ ๐๐๐ ๐ญ๐ซ๐๐๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ซ๐๐ง๐ ๐: ๐,๐๐๐๐ฉ๐ญ – ๐,๐๐๐๐ฉ๐ญย ( ๐๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐๐ซ๐๐๐ฒ ๐๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐:ย ๐,๐๐๐๐ฉ๐ญ)
* ๐๐๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐๐ญ๐ซ๐๐๐ญ ๐๐ง๐๐๐ ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก ๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ญ๐ฅ๐ ๐๐ก๐๐ง๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ฆ๐จ๐ง๐ข๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐๐จ๐ซ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐๐ง๐ข๐ญ๐๐ ๐๐ญ๐๐ญ๐๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐๐ฅ ๐ฃ๐จ๐๐ฅ๐๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐๐ฅ๐๐ข๐ฆ๐ฌ ๐๐ก๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฌ๐๐๐ฒ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ง๐จ๐ง-๐๐๐ซ๐ฆ ๐ฉ๐๐ฒ๐ซ๐จ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฌ ๐๐๐ญ๐ ๐ญ๐จ๐ฆ๐จ๐ซ๐ซ๐จ๐ฐ
* ๐๐ก๐ ๐๐๐ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐ฑ๐ฉ๐๐๐ญ๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ญ๐ฎ๐๐ญ๐ ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐ ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐๐ ๐๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐๐๐ฅ๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐ง๐ ๐จ๐ข๐ฅ-๐๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐
Morning,
The Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) today (9/2) is expected to trade between 6,075pt – 6,150pt likely to reverse also by support of bargain hunters. Meanwhile, yesterday (9/1) ย Wall Street ended with the DJIA closed lower by 48 points or 0.1% to 35,313pt, while the S&P500 and the Nasdaq both closed higher by 0.03% and 0.33%, respectively.
The JCI was trending into the lower range of our estimate during yesterdayโs trading soon after the release of the countryโs August inflation figure, and closed by 1% lower at 6,091pt.ย Broader market participants seemed to react unfavorably to the data, which comes in at 0.03% MoM, lower as compared to Julyโs of 0.08% MoM.ย The Augustโs CPI ย figure is seen as failed to hold the JCI despite most economistsโ estimate of August price hike of 0.01%MoM.
As excerpted from the central bank Bank Indonesia release, August monthly inflation rate should not come as a surprise, we view. Also, ย weaker Indonesia Consumer Confidence Index in the month of Julyof 80.2pt (vs. June of 107.4pt), has consistently impacted the following monthโs consumersโ purchasing level. To remind, Indonesia started urgent full lock-down against second wave COVID-19 spread on July 3 until August24 and this have impacted short-term macro data series. The JCI is expected to partially reverse today.
At the other end, yesterday the WTI price closed higher by 9 cents to USD68.6/barrel , mainly as OPEC+ members, during yesterdayโs meeting, agreed to the existing production level policy despite the urge from the White House to increase output.ย Meanwhile, the USDIDR ย closed ย at IDR14,284 vs. IDR14,306 the previous one.
We advise the following recommendations, for both trading and longer-time investment purpose. ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐จ๐ณ๐ช, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ฏ๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต ), ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ ๐๐ช๐ฏ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต-๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต), ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ด๐ถ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ณ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต ), ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐, ๐๐๐๐,๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ณ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฆ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต),๐๐ง๐ ๐๐๐๐ (๐ฌ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ข๐ด๐ช๐ค ๐๐ฏ๐ฅ๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐ณ๐บ, ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต-๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต).
Cheers,