The JCI September 2, 2021

๐’๐ž๐ฉ๐ญ๐ž๐ฆ๐›๐ž๐ซ ๐Ÿ, ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ

 

* ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐‰๐‚๐ˆ ๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ž: ๐Ÿ”,๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ“๐ฉ๐ญ – ๐Ÿ”,๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ๐ฉ๐ญย  ( ๐˜๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ž๐ซ๐๐š๐ฒ ๐œ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž:ย  ๐Ÿ”,๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ๐ฉ๐ญ)

* ๐–๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐’๐ญ๐ซ๐ž๐ž๐ญ ๐ž๐ง๐๐ž๐ ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก ๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ญ๐ฅ๐ž ๐œ๐ก๐š๐ง๐ ๐ž ๐š๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ฆ๐จ๐ง๐ข๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐”๐ง๐ข๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐’๐ญ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐š๐ฅ ๐ฃ๐จ๐›๐ฅ๐ž๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐œ๐ฅ๐š๐ข๐ฆ๐ฌ ๐“๐ก๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฌ๐๐š๐ฒ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ง๐จ๐ง-๐Ÿ๐š๐ซ๐ฆ ๐ฉ๐š๐ฒ๐ซ๐จ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฌ ๐๐š๐ญ๐š ๐ญ๐จ๐ฆ๐จ๐ซ๐ซ๐จ๐ฐ

* ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐‰๐‚๐ˆ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ž๐ฑ๐ฉ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐œ๐ญ๐ฎ๐š๐ญ๐ž ๐š๐ง๐ ๐›๐ž ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐›๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐š๐›๐ฅ๐ž ๐”๐’๐ƒ๐ˆ๐ƒ๐‘ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐จ๐ข๐ฅ-๐œ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž

 

Morning,

The Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) today (9/2) is expected to trade between 6,075pt – 6,150pt likely to reverse also by support of bargain hunters. Meanwhile, yesterday (9/1) ย Wall Street ended with the DJIA closed lower by 48 points or 0.1% to 35,313pt, while the S&P500 and the Nasdaq both closed higher by 0.03% and 0.33%, respectively.

 

The JCI was trending into the lower range of our estimate during yesterdayโ€™s trading soon after the release of the countryโ€™s August inflation figure, and closed by 1% lower at 6,091pt.ย  Broader market participants seemed to react unfavorably to the data, which comes in at 0.03% MoM, lower as compared to Julyโ€™s of 0.08% MoM.ย  The Augustโ€™s CPI ย figure is seen as failed to hold the JCI despite most economistsโ€™ estimate of August price hike of 0.01%MoM.

As excerpted from the central bank Bank Indonesia release, August monthly inflation rate should not come as a surprise, we view. Also, ย weaker Indonesia Consumer Confidence Index in the month of Julyof 80.2pt (vs. June of 107.4pt), has consistently impacted the following monthโ€™s consumersโ€™ purchasing level. To remind, Indonesia started urgent full lock-down against second wave COVID-19 spread on July 3 until August24 and this have impacted short-term macro data series. The JCI is expected to partially reverse today.

 

At the other end, yesterday the WTI price closed higher by 9 cents to USD68.6/barrel , mainly as OPEC+ members, during yesterdayโ€™s meeting, agreed to the existing production level policy despite the urge from the White House to increase output.ย  Meanwhile, the USDIDR ย closed ย at IDR14,284 vs. IDR14,306 the previous one.

 

We advise the following recommendations, for both trading and longer-time investment purpose. ๐€๐€๐‹๐ˆ, ๐‹๐’๐ˆ๐ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜ˆ๐˜จ๐˜ณ๐˜ช, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜œ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต ), ๐”๐๐“๐‘, ๐ˆ๐“๐Œ๐†, ๐€๐ƒ๐‘๐Ž, ๐๐“๐๐€ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜Š๐˜ฐ๐˜ข๐˜ญ ๐˜”๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜”๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต-๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต), ๐’๐ˆ๐ƒ๐Ž, ๐”๐‹๐“๐‰, ๐”๐๐•๐‘, ๐ˆ๐‚๐๐ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜Š๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ด๐˜ถ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜–๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต ), ๐š๐ง๐ ๐€๐‚๐„๐’, ๐’๐‚๐Œ๐€, ๐Œ๐€๐๐ˆ,๐Œ๐๐‚๐ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜›๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜–๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต),๐š๐ง๐ ๐“๐Š๐ˆ๐Œ (๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐˜‰๐˜ข๐˜ด๐˜ช๐˜ค ๐˜๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ๐˜ถ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜บ, ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐˜”๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต-๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต).

 

Cheers,

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