The JCI January 10, 2022

๐‰๐š๐ง๐ฎ๐š๐ซ๐ฒ ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ, ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ

 

* ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐‰๐‚๐ˆ ๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ž: ๐Ÿ”,๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ”๐ŸŽ๐ฉ๐ญ – ๐Ÿ”,๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ”๐ŸŽ๐ฉ๐ญ (๐…๐ซ๐ข๐๐š๐ฒ ๐œ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž: ๐Ÿ”,๐Ÿ•๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐ฉ๐ญ)

 

* ๐–๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐’๐ญ๐ซ๐ž๐ž๐ญ ๐ž๐ง๐๐ž๐ ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก ๐ฆ๐š๐ข๐ง ๐ข๐ง๐๐ข๐œ๐ž๐ฌ ๐œ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž๐ ๐ฌ๐ฅ ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฐ๐ž๐ซ, ๐ฆ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ซ๐ž๐Ÿ๐ฅ๐ž๐œ๐ญ ๐›๐จ๐ญ๐ก ๐จ๐ฉ๐ญ๐ข๐ฆ๐ข๐ฌ๐ฆ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐”๐ง๐ข๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐’๐ญ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ฌ (๐”๐’) ๐ž๐œ๐จ๐ง๐จ๐ฆ๐ฒ ๐š๐ฅ๐จ๐ง๐  ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐ฆ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐ก๐ข๐ ๐ก๐ž๐ซย  ๐…๐…๐‘ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐›๐จ๐ง๐๐ฌ ๐ญ๐š๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ๐›๐ฒ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐œ๐จ๐ฎ๐ง๐ญ๐ซ๐ฒ’๐ฌ ๐œ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐ฅ ๐›๐š๐ง๐ค

 

* ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐‰๐‚๐ˆ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ž๐ฑ๐ฉ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ก๐จ๐ฅ๐ ๐ ๐ซ๐จ๐ฎ๐ง๐ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐›๐ž ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐›๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐š๐›๐ฅ๐ž ๐”๐’๐ƒ๐ˆ๐ƒ๐‘ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐จ๐ข๐ฅ-๐œ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž

 

 

Morning,

 

The Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) today (1/10) is expected to trade between 6,660pt – 6,760pt and to attempt higher also on the back of ย bargain hunters. Today the JCI is expected to hold ground. ย Friday last week (1/7) the DJIA closed lower by 5pt or 0.01% to 36,232pt, while the S&P500 and the Nasdaq Composite ย ย closed lower by 0.4% and 1.0%, respectively. The US equity market was generally supported also by the release of the countryโ€™s ย employment rate data for ย last year and December at 3.9% YoY (November: 4.2% YoY), or better than the forecast of 4.1% .

 

The JCI Friday last week closed at the high range of our estimate also supported by ย foreign purchase in the regular market, of net buy relatively high IDR990bn.ย  As generally expected, the energy sector outperformed others last Friday, an increase of 2.01% vs the JCI of 0.72%. ย ย At the other side, thin but gradual increase of COVID-19 new cases positivity rates (PR) seemed to be sidelined as for now.

During the last 4 (four) days, ย PR of COVID-19 new cases in Jakarta capital city has been in the range of 2.0% – 2.6% , much higher as compared to the lowest range of 0.2% – 0.4% in the month. To remind, most schools in Jakarta has implemented 100% capacity of face-to-face learnings since January 3, this year (previously 50%). While the least is the better, stakeholders might want to find what is the โ€œtolerable levelโ€ of COVID-19 new cases occurrence to avoid unnecessary panic-selling.

 

At the other end, last week ย ย the WTI price closed lower by 0.7% to USD78.9/barrel, ย mainly ย technical in the background of continued supply worry following the event of unrest in member-country producer Kazakhstan . Meanwhile, the USDIDR closed ย at IDR14,360 vs. IDR14,396 the previous one.

 

 

Cheers,

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